The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier and emerging AI labs, alongside lower odds for established players like Google at 28% and OpenAI at 25%, reflect intense uncertainty in the race for third place by late November. Recent model releases, benchmark gains in reasoning and multimodal capabilities, and strategic partnerships have kept smaller labs competitive against giants, while regulatory scrutiny and talent shifts add volatility. Traders are watching developer ecosystem growth, safety evaluations, and compute scaling announcements as key swing factors that could reorder rankings before the resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoTerzo miglior AI Lab a fine novembre?
Terzo miglior AI Lab a fine novembre?
MiniMax 21%
Anthropic 20%
Baidu 20%
Google 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
MiniMax
21%
Anthropic
20%
Baidu
20%
19%
SpaceXAI
19%
Nvidia
16%
Xiaomi
16%
Moonshot
15%
DeepSeek
14%
Amazon
14%
Meta
13%
ByteDance
13%
Microsoft
13%
StepFun
12%
Thinky
12%
Alibaba
11%
Meituan
10%
Z.ai
10%
Mistral
9%
Tencent
9%
OpenAI
7%
MiniMax 21%
Anthropic 20%
Baidu 20%
Google 19%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 nov 2026
MiniMax
$29 Vol.
21%
Anthropic
$29 Vol.
20%
Baidu
$29 Vol.
20%
$29 Vol.
19%
SpaceXAI
$29 Vol.
19%
Nvidia
$29 Vol.
16%
Xiaomi
$29 Vol.
16%
Moonshot
$29 Vol.
15%
DeepSeek
$29 Vol.
14%
Amazon
$29 Vol.
14%
Meta
$29 Vol.
13%
ByteDance
$29 Vol.
13%
Microsoft
$29 Vol.
13%
StepFun
$29 Vol.
12%
Thinky
$29 Vol.
12%
Alibaba
$29 Vol.
11%
Meituan
$29 Vol.
10%
Z.ai
$29 Vol.
10%
Mistral
$29 Vol.
9%
Tencent
$29 Vol.
9%
OpenAI
$29 Vol.
7%
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier and emerging AI labs, alongside lower odds for established players like Google at 28% and OpenAI at 25%, reflect intense uncertainty in the race for third place by late November. Recent model releases, benchmark gains in reasoning and multimodal capabilities, and strategic partnerships have kept smaller labs competitive against giants, while regulatory scrutiny and talent shifts add volatility. Traders are watching developer ecosystem growth, safety evaluations, and compute scaling announcements as key swing factors that could reorder rankings before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ET
Volume
$613Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier and emerging AI labs, alongside lower odds for established players like Google at 28% and OpenAI at 25%, reflect intense uncertainty in the race for third place by late November. Recent model releases, benchmark gains in reasoning and multimodal capabilities, and strategic partnerships have kept smaller labs competitive against giants, while regulatory scrutiny and talent shifts add volatility. Traders are watching developer ecosystem growth, safety evaluations, and compute scaling announcements as key swing factors that could reorder rankings before the resolution date.
This market will resolve according to the third-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on November 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Overall" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/overall-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies third place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Overall). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Volume
$613Data di fine
1 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 8:10 PM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The closely matched probabilities around 50% for several mid-tier and emerging AI labs, alongside lower odds for established players like Google at 28% and OpenAI at 25%, reflect intense uncertainty in the race for third place by late November. Recent model releases, benchmark gains in reasoning and multimodal capabilities, and strategic partnerships have kept smaller labs competitive against giants, while regulatory scrutiny and talent shifts add volatility. Traders are watching developer ecosystem growth, safety evaluations, and compute scaling announcements as key swing factors that could reorder rankings before the resolution date.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoCorrelati
OpenAI sarà il secondo miglior laboratorio di intelligenza artificiale alla fine di novembre 2026?
25%
Sì
OpenAI sarà il terzo miglior laboratorio di intelligenza artificiale matematica alla fine di novembre 2026?
36%
Sì
Microsoft sarà il terzo laboratorio di IA alla fine di novembre 2026 (Controllo stile attivo)?
28%
Sì
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