Ohio's 11th congressional district carries a D+28 partisan voter index, reflecting its heavy concentration in Democratic-leaning Cleveland and Cuyahoga County. Incumbent Shontel Brown won her May primary by a wide margin and maintains strong name recognition plus established fundraising. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, confronts these structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The market's 98.4% consensus for Brown aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency edge. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national shift could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoOH-11 House Election Winner
OH-11 House Election Winner
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
1%
$38,426 Vol.
$38,426 Vol.
2 nov 2026
Shontel Brown (D)
$15,629 Vol.
98%
Mike Kirchner (R)
$22,797 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district carries a D+28 partisan voter index, reflecting its heavy concentration in Democratic-leaning Cleveland and Cuyahoga County. Incumbent Shontel Brown won her May primary by a wide margin and maintains strong name recognition plus established fundraising. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, confronts these structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The market's 98.4% consensus for Brown aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency edge. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national shift could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Mercato aperto: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Volume
$38,426Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Ohio's 11th congressional district carries a D+28 partisan voter index, reflecting its heavy concentration in Democratic-leaning Cleveland and Cuyahoga County. Incumbent Shontel Brown won her May primary by a wide margin and maintains strong name recognition plus established fundraising. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, confronts these structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The market's 98.4% consensus for Brown aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency edge. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national shift could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the OH-11 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Volume
$38,426Data di fine
3 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETRisolutore
0x2F5e3684c...Ohio's 11th congressional district carries a D+28 partisan voter index, reflecting its heavy concentration in Democratic-leaning Cleveland and Cuyahoga County. Incumbent Shontel Brown won her May primary by a wide margin and maintains strong name recognition plus established fundraising. Republican nominee Mike Kirchner, who advanced from a low-turnout primary, confronts these structural disadvantages in a race rated safe or solid Democratic by multiple forecasters. The market's 98.4% consensus for Brown aligns with this entrenched partisan baseline and incumbency edge. Only an unforeseen development such as a major scandal, health event, or abrupt national shift could realistically narrow the gap before the November general election.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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