Recent polling places A Just Russia near the 5% party-list threshold required for proportional representation in the State Duma, with state pollsters VTsIOM showing 4–6% and FOM indicating 6–7% in early September fieldwork. This narrow band creates competitive balance amid competition from New People and LDPR for protest and patriotic voters, the party's shift toward veteran support and anti-immigration messaging, and the exclusion of Yabloko, which may redirect limited support. Kremlin administrative resources, turnout patterns in single-member districts, and final vote allocation among clearing parties could determine whether the party secures seats or sees its list votes redistributed. The three-day vote beginning September 18 leaves little time for late shifts before results finalize.