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Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

icon for Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?

Elif Eralp 48%

Stefan Evers 41%

Werner Graf 10.7%

Steffen Krach 1.1%

Polymarket

$75,378 Vol.

Elif Eralp 48%

Stefan Evers 41%

Werner Graf 10.7%

Steffen Krach 1.1%

Polymarket

$75,378 Vol.

icon for Elif Eralp

Elif Eralp

$40,039 Vol.

48%

icon for Stefan Evers

Stefan Evers

$21,395 Vol.

41%

icon for Werner Graf

Werner Graf

$9,004 Vol.

11%

icon for Steffen Krach

Steffen Krach

$2,332 Vol.

1%

icon for Kristin Brinker

Kristin Brinker

$2,609 Vol.

<1%

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will select Berlin’s next governing mayor through coalition negotiations after no party secures a majority. Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads recent polls near 22 percent following incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal over crisis-management issues, positioning her party for a potential left-leaning alliance with the SPD and Greens. Stefan Evers, the CDU’s replacement candidate and finance senator, trails slightly in surveys around 18 percent while defending the current black-red coalition record. Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD register single-digit support, limiting their direct paths to the Red Town Hall. Traders price the top two contenders closely because coalition arithmetic, turnout in key districts, and late campaign momentum on housing and budget issues could still shift the largest-party outcome before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,378
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will select Berlin’s next governing mayor through coalition negotiations after no party secures a majority. Elif Eralp of Die Linke leads recent polls near 22 percent following incumbent Kai Wegner’s July withdrawal over crisis-management issues, positioning her party for a potential left-leaning alliance with the SPD and Greens. Stefan Evers, the CDU’s replacement candidate and finance senator, trails slightly in surveys around 18 percent while defending the current black-red coalition record. Werner Graf of the Greens, Steffen Krach of the SPD, and Kristin Brinker of the AfD register single-digit support, limiting their direct paths to the Red Town Hall. Traders price the top two contenders closely because coalition arithmetic, turnout in key districts, and late campaign momentum on housing and budget issues could still shift the largest-party outcome before election day.

Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.

This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections.

To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market.

If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”.

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetehaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026. This market will resolve to the next individual who officially assumes the office of Regierender Bürgermeister (Governing Mayor) of Berlin following the specified elections. To count for resolution, the individual must be officially sworn in. Any interim or caretaker Governing Mayor will not count toward the resolution of this market. If no such Governing Mayor takes office by May 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “Other”. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Volume
$75,378
Data di fine
20 set 2026
Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 7:58 PM ET

Risolutore

0x69c47De9D...

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Domande frequenti

"Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" è un mercato predittivo su Polymarket con 5 possibili esiti dove i trader comprano e vendono azioni in base a ciò che credono accadrà. L'esito attualmente in testa è "Elif Eralp" a 48%, seguito da "Stefan Evers" a 41%. I prezzi riflettono probabilità aggregate in tempo reale. Ad esempio, un'azione quotata a 48¢ implica che il mercato assegna collettivamente una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. Queste quote cambiano continuamente man mano che i trader reagiscono a nuovi sviluppi e informazioni. Le azioni nell'esito corretto possono essere riscattate per $1 ciascuna alla risoluzione del mercato.

Ad oggi, "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" ha generato $75.4K in volume totale di trading dal lancio del mercato il Aug 11, 2026. Questo livello di attività di trading riflette un forte coinvolgimento della comunità Polymarket e contribuisce a garantire che le quote attuali siano informate da un ampio pool di partecipanti al mercato. Puoi seguire i movimenti di prezzo in tempo reale e fare trading su qualsiasi esito direttamente su questa pagina.

Per fare trading su "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?", esplora i 5 esiti disponibili elencati in questa pagina. Ogni esito mostra un prezzo corrente che rappresenta la probabilità implicita del mercato. Per prendere una posizione, seleziona l'esito che ritieni più probabile, scegli "Sì" per fare trading a suo favore o "No" per fare trading contro di esso, inserisci il tuo importo e clicca "Trading". Se il tuo esito scelto è corretto alla risoluzione del mercato, le tue azioni "Sì" pagano $1 ciascuna. Se è errato, pagano $0. Puoi anche vendere le tue azioni in qualsiasi momento prima della risoluzione se vuoi consolidare un profitto o limitare una perdita.

L'attuale favorito per "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" è "Elif Eralp" a 48%, il che significa che il mercato assegna una probabilità di 48% a quell'esito. L'esito successivo più vicino è "Stefan Evers" a 41%. Queste quote si aggiornano in tempo reale man mano che i trader comprano e vendono azioni, quindi riflettono l'ultima visione collettiva di ciò che è più probabile che accada. Controlla frequentemente o aggiungi questa pagina ai preferiti per seguire come cambiano le quote man mano che emergono nuove informazioni.

Le regole di risoluzione per "Next Governing Mayor of Berlin?" definiscono esattamente cosa deve accadere affinché ogni esito venga dichiarato vincitore — comprese le fonti di dati ufficiali utilizzate per determinare il risultato. Puoi consultare i criteri completi di risoluzione nella sezione "Regole" di questa pagina sopra i commenti. Ti consigliamo di leggere attentamente le regole prima di fare trading, poiché specificano le condizioni precise, i casi limite e le fonti che regolano come viene risolto questo mercato.