The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next governing coalition, as no single party is expected to secure a majority in the city-state’s fragmented parliament. Incumbent CDU Mayor Kai Wegner’s grand coalition with the SPD has governed since 2023 but faces polling pressure from the Greens, Left Party, and AfD amid criticism over infrastructure failures and winter disruptions. Traders focus on viable post-election alliances—such as renewed CDU-SPD, CDU-Greens, or left-leaning combinations—while the longstanding firewall against AfD participation shapes coalition arithmetic. Nearby state votes and national trends add indirect pressure, with outcomes hinging on turnout among urban and immigrant voter blocs in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNUOVO
31 dic 2026
Verdi
86%
SPD
86%
Linke
75%
CDU
46%
FDP
19%
BSW
4%
AfD
2%
FW
1%
$4,340 Vol.
Verdi
$83 Vol.
86%
SPD
$177 Vol.
86%
Linke
$833 Vol.
75%
CDU
$848 Vol.
46%
FDP
$209 Vol.
19%
BSW
$280 Vol.
4%
AfD
$1,269 Vol.
2%
FW
$641 Vol.
1%
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next governing coalition, as no single party is expected to secure a majority in the city-state’s fragmented parliament. Incumbent CDU Mayor Kai Wegner’s grand coalition with the SPD has governed since 2023 but faces polling pressure from the Greens, Left Party, and AfD amid criticism over infrastructure failures and winter disruptions. Traders focus on viable post-election alliances—such as renewed CDU-SPD, CDU-Greens, or left-leaning combinations—while the longstanding firewall against AfD participation shapes coalition arithmetic. Nearby state votes and national trends add indirect pressure, with outcomes hinging on turnout among urban and immigrant voter blocs in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ET
Volume
$4,340Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next governing coalition, as no single party is expected to secure a majority in the city-state’s fragmented parliament. Incumbent CDU Mayor Kai Wegner’s grand coalition with the SPD has governed since 2023 but faces polling pressure from the Greens, Left Party, and AfD amid criticism over infrastructure failures and winter disruptions. Traders focus on viable post-election alliances—such as renewed CDU-SPD, CDU-Greens, or left-leaning combinations—while the longstanding firewall against AfD participation shapes coalition arithmetic. Nearby state votes and national trends add indirect pressure, with outcomes hinging on turnout among urban and immigrant voter blocs in the final weeks.
Parliamentary elections to elect the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin are scheduled to take place in Berlin on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed political party is included in the first Berlin state government formed after the 2026 Berlin state election. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market may resolve once the composition of the first Berlin state government following the 2026 state election is officially confirmed and that government has formally taken office.
The state government is considered formed when the newly elected Abgeordnetenhaus elects the Governing Mayor. A party is considered part of the state government if it provides at least one Senator, including the Governing Mayor. Parties that merely support the government (e.g., through confidence-and-supply arrangements, parliamentary support agreements, or similar) without holding a Senator post will not qualify.
If no government is formed, or the results are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on a consensus of credible reporting. In case of ambiguity, this market will resolve based on official information from the Senate of Berlin and the Abgeordnetenhaus of Berlin.
Volume
$4,340Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 20, 2026, 1:42 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The September 20, 2026, Abgeordnetenhaus election will determine Berlin’s next governing coalition, as no single party is expected to secure a majority in the city-state’s fragmented parliament. Incumbent CDU Mayor Kai Wegner’s grand coalition with the SPD has governed since 2023 but faces polling pressure from the Greens, Left Party, and AfD amid criticism over infrastructure failures and winter disruptions. Traders focus on viable post-election alliances—such as renewed CDU-SPD, CDU-Greens, or left-leaning combinations—while the longstanding firewall against AfD participation shapes coalition arithmetic. Nearby state votes and national trends add indirect pressure, with outcomes hinging on turnout among urban and immigrant voter blocs in the final weeks.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti