Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoNuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei
Nuovo vincitore delle elezioni del sindaco di Taipei
Lee Shu-chuan 78%
Su Chiao-hui 18%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
78%
Su Chiao-hui
18%
Huang Kuo-chang
<1%
Lee Shu-chuan 78%
Su Chiao-hui 18%
Huang Kuo-chang <1%
NUOVO
NUOVO
30 giu 2027
Lee Shu-chuan
$1,266 Vol.
78%
Su Chiao-hui
$829 Vol.
18%
Huang Kuo-chang
$603 Vol.
<1%
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Mercato aperto: Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ET
Volume
$2,699Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
Taiwanese local elections are scheduled to be held on November 28, 2026.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who becomes the next Mayor of New Taipei as a result of this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder Mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known, or no candidate has been elected, by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the results of the elections as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Taiwanese government, specifically the Central Election Commission (https://db.cec.gov.tw/).
Volume
$2,699Data di fine
28 nov 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 14, 2026, 8:27 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Lee Shu-chuan leads the New Taipei mayoral market at 77.5% as the joint nominee of the KMT-TPP alliance following an April 2026 primary poll that defeated Huang Kuo-chang. This consolidation of opposition support against DPP candidate Su Chiao-hui, who trails in contemporaneous surveys by margins of roughly 5–12 points, underpins trader consensus on Lee’s position. Huang’s withdrawal and endorsement further narrows alternatives, reflected in his 0.4% odds. With the November 28, 2026, election still months away, the implied probabilities embed the structural advantage of unified non-DPP backing and limited recent polling shifts that could alter the race.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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