Official observations from San Francisco International Airport and downtown stations recorded a minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 65% implied probability for that bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest winds maintained overnight cooling near seasonal norms of 56°F, while the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiational cooling prevented deeper drops. NOAA forecast discussions highlighted typical August upwelling and cloud cover suppressing extremes, with model consensus showing little deviation from climatology. Upcoming NWS climate summaries will confirm final resolution criteria based on the official daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di San Francisco il 22 agosto?
58-59°F 99.5%
54-55°F 1.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
49°F o inferiore <1%
$2,248 Vol.
$2,248 Vol.
49°F o inferiore
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Sì
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F o superiore
No
58-59°F 99.5%
54-55°F 1.0%
56-57°F 1.0%
49°F o inferiore <1%
$2,248 Vol.
$2,248 Vol.
49°F o inferiore
No
50-51°F
No
52-53°F
No
54-55°F
No
56-57°F
No
58-59°F
Sì
60-61°F
No
62-63°F
No
64-65°F
No
66-67°F
No
68°F o superiore
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 20, 2026, 8:30 PM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the San Francisco International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 22 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the San Francisco International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFO.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ca/san-francisco/KSFOResolver
0x69c47De9D...Esito proposto: No
Nessuna contestazione
Esito finale: No
Official observations from San Francisco International Airport and downtown stations recorded a minimum temperature of 58–59°F on August 22, 2026, aligning with the market's leading 65% implied probability for that bin. Persistent marine-layer stratus and moderate onshore southwest winds maintained overnight cooling near seasonal norms of 56°F, while the absence of strong offshore flow or clear-sky radiational cooling prevented deeper drops. NOAA forecast discussions highlighted typical August upwelling and cloud cover suppressing extremes, with model consensus showing little deviation from climatology. Upcoming NWS climate summaries will confirm final resolution criteria based on the official daily minimum.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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