**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, centers on 27°C as the modal outcome (42% implied probability), with recent official and model forecasts converging on minimum temperatures of 26–28°C.** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological updates, project an overnight low near 27°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s. Persistent warm, moist air from the subtropical high and recent rainfall episodes have elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. This setup favors the 27°C bin while supporting secondary interest in the 22°C-or-below outcome (28.5%) only if clearer skies or a brief northerly shift materialize. The 32°C-or-higher probability (24%) appears misplaced for the daily minimum and likely reflects confusion with daytime highs. Coastal marine influence and model consensus on stable southerly flow through the 24th reduce the chance of sharper cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the current forecast cluster. Newer model runs or clearing trends before resolution could shift probabilities, but present data sustain 27°C as the consensus favorite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Qingdao il 24 agosto?
32°C o superiore 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
22°C o inferiore 29%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
29%
23°C
8%
24°C
16%
25°C
16%
26°C
19%
27°C
36%
28°C
35%
29°C
10%
30°C
9%
31°C
8%
32°C o superiore
48%
32°C o superiore 48%
27°C 37%
28°C 35%
22°C o inferiore 29%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$114 Vol.
29%
23°C
$57 Vol.
8%
24°C
$17 Vol.
16%
25°C
$0 Vol.
16%
26°C
$18 Vol.
19%
27°C
$5 Vol.
36%
28°C
$5 Vol.
35%
29°C
$5 Vol.
10%
30°C
$5 Vol.
9%
31°C
$144 Vol.
8%
32°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, centers on 27°C as the modal outcome (42% implied probability), with recent official and model forecasts converging on minimum temperatures of 26–28°C.**
Multiple sources, including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological updates, project an overnight low near 27°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s. Persistent warm, moist air from the subtropical high and recent rainfall episodes have elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C.
This setup favors the 27°C bin while supporting secondary interest in the 22°C-or-below outcome (28.5%) only if clearer skies or a brief northerly shift materialize. The 32°C-or-higher probability (24%) appears misplaced for the daily minimum and likely reflects confusion with daytime highs. Coastal marine influence and model consensus on stable southerly flow through the 24th reduce the chance of sharper cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the current forecast cluster. Newer model runs or clearing trends before resolution could shift probabilities, but present data sustain 27°C as the consensus favorite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Volume
$375Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, centers on 27°C as the modal outcome (42% implied probability), with recent official and model forecasts converging on minimum temperatures of 26–28°C.**
Multiple sources, including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological updates, project an overnight low near 27°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s. Persistent warm, moist air from the subtropical high and recent rainfall episodes have elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C.
This setup favors the 27°C bin while supporting secondary interest in the 22°C-or-below outcome (28.5%) only if clearer skies or a brief northerly shift materialize. The 32°C-or-higher probability (24%) appears misplaced for the daily minimum and likely reflects confusion with daytime highs. Coastal marine influence and model consensus on stable southerly flow through the 24th reduce the chance of sharper cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the current forecast cluster. Newer model runs or clearing trends before resolution could shift probabilities, but present data sustain 27°C as the consensus favorite.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$375Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:32 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Trader sentiment for the lowest temperature in Qingdao on August 24, 2026, centers on 27°C as the modal outcome (42% implied probability), with recent official and model forecasts converging on minimum temperatures of 26–28°C.** Multiple sources, including Yr.no, WeatherBug, and Chinese meteorological updates, project an overnight low near 27°C under partly cloudy to overcast skies with southerly winds of 3–4 m/s. Persistent warm, moist air from the subtropical high and recent rainfall episodes have elevated dew points and limited nocturnal radiative cooling, keeping lows well above the August climatological average of ~22–24°C. This setup favors the 27°C bin while supporting secondary interest in the 22°C-or-below outcome (28.5%) only if clearer skies or a brief northerly shift materialize. The 32°C-or-higher probability (24%) appears misplaced for the daily minimum and likely reflects confusion with daytime highs. Coastal marine influence and model consensus on stable southerly flow through the 24th reduce the chance of sharper cooling, anchoring market-implied odds around the current forecast cluster. Newer model runs or clearing trends before resolution could shift probabilities, but present data sustain 27°C as the consensus favorite.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti