Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di New York il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di New York il 17 agosto?
70-71°F 98.9%
68-69°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$16,700 Vol.
$16,700 Vol.
17 ago 2026
61°F o inferiore
<1%
62-63°F
<1%
64-65°F
<1%
66-67°F
<1%
68-69°F
1%
70-71°F
99%
72-73°F
<1%
74-75°F
<1%
76-77°F
<1%
78-79°F
<1%
80°F o superiore
<1%
70-71°F 98.9%
68-69°F 1.0%
64-65°F <1%
66-67°F <1%
$16,700 Vol.
$16,700 Vol.
17 ago 2026
61°F o inferiore
$291 Vol.
<1%
62-63°F
$379 Vol.
<1%
64-65°F
$1,345 Vol.
<1%
66-67°F
$1,805 Vol.
<1%
68-69°F
$1,214 Vol.
1%
70-71°F
$3,247 Vol.
99%
72-73°F
$4,335 Vol.
<1%
74-75°F
$2,467 Vol.
<1%
76-77°F
$710 Vol.
<1%
78-79°F
$616 Vol.
<1%
80°F o superiore
$291 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Volume
$16,700Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the LaGuardia Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the LaGuardia Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$16,700Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:28 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/ny/new-york-city/KLGAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Official measurements from National Weather Service stations in New York City, including Central Park and LaGuardia Airport, recorded a minimum temperature of 70–71°F on August 17, 2026, aligning with the market's overwhelming 98.9% implied probability. This outcome reflects typical late-summer conditions driven by southerly flow, dew points in the upper 60s to low 70s, and limited radiational cooling under partly cloudy skies. Climatological averages for mid-August place overnight lows near 68–72°F, providing strong historical precedent. Trader consensus, backed by real capital, incorporated the most recent model guidance and observational data confirming this narrow range. An unexpected shift in wind direction or clearer skies enhancing cooling could have produced a lower reading, though no such deviation materialized in verified reports.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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