Recent short-range weather model consensus for Guangzhou points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 36°C (43%) and 37°C (31%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in updated forecasts support this range, which sits modestly above the city’s long-term August average high near 33–34°C. Thunderstorm activity noted in some guidance could moderate the exact maximum, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of sharp cooling. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 19 agosto?
36°C 42%
37°C 39%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
1%
32°C
1%
33°C
2%
34°C
3%
35°C
8%
36°C
42%
37°C
39%
38°C
11%
39°C
3%
40°C o superiore
<1%
36°C 42%
37°C 39%
38°C 11%
35°C 8%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
30°C o inferiore
$191 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$541 Vol.
1%
32°C
$424 Vol.
1%
33°C
$264 Vol.
2%
34°C
$255 Vol.
3%
35°C
$214 Vol.
8%
36°C
$777 Vol.
42%
37°C
$1,128 Vol.
39%
38°C
$659 Vol.
11%
39°C
$312 Vol.
3%
40°C o superiore
$672 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range weather model consensus for Guangzhou points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 36°C (43%) and 37°C (31%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in updated forecasts support this range, which sits modestly above the city’s long-term August average high near 33–34°C. Thunderstorm activity noted in some guidance could moderate the exact maximum, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of sharp cooling. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$5,436Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range weather model consensus for Guangzhou points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 36°C (43%) and 37°C (31%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in updated forecasts support this range, which sits modestly above the city’s long-term August average high near 33–34°C. Thunderstorm activity noted in some guidance could moderate the exact maximum, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of sharp cooling. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGG.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$5,436Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/guangzhou/ZGGGResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range weather model consensus for Guangzhou points to a peak temperature of 35–37°C on August 19, aligning with market-implied probabilities favoring 36°C (43%) and 37°C (31%). Subtropical monsoon conditions, elevated humidity, and limited cloud cover or precipitation in updated forecasts support this range, which sits modestly above the city’s long-term August average high near 33–34°C. Thunderstorm activity noted in some guidance could moderate the exact maximum, while stable steering patterns reduce the chance of sharp cooling. Official updates from regional meteorological services over the next 48 hours will likely refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti