Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms promoting convective cooling that caps further warming. Mid-August observations across the region have shown comparable peaks of 31–33°C absent extreme heat domes or typhoon influences, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome as the leading resolution while assigning secondary weight to 32°C based on minor model spread. Upcoming official briefings and real-time station data will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Shanghai il 18 agosto?
31°C 56%
32°C 34%
30°C 5%
33°C 2.3%
NUOVO
$52,445 Vol.
NUOVO
$52,445 Vol.
18 ago 2026
26°C or below
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
5%
31°C
56%
32°C
34%
33°C
2%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C or higher
<1%
31°C 56%
32°C 34%
30°C 5%
33°C 2.3%
NUOVO
$52,445 Vol.
NUOVO
$52,445 Vol.
18 ago 2026
26°C or below
$314 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$181 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$7,038 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$9,875 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$10,278 Vol.
5%
31°C
$7,177 Vol.
56%
32°C
$8,323 Vol.
34%
33°C
$4,560 Vol.
2%
34°C
$3,379 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$1,145 Vol.
<1%
36°C or higher
$175 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms promoting convective cooling that caps further warming. Mid-August observations across the region have shown comparable peaks of 31–33°C absent extreme heat domes or typhoon influences, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome as the leading resolution while assigning secondary weight to 32°C based on minor model spread. Upcoming official briefings and real-time station data will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$52,445Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms promoting convective cooling that caps further warming. Mid-August observations across the region have shown comparable peaks of 31–33°C absent extreme heat domes or typhoon influences, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome as the leading resolution while assigning secondary weight to 32°C based on minor model spread. Upcoming official briefings and real-time station data will refine these market-implied probabilities.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$52,445Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from the Shanghai Meteorological Observatory and international services converge on a daily maximum of 31–32°C for August 18 under typical subtropical monsoon conditions, with elevated humidity, variable cloud cover, and isolated thunderstorms promoting convective cooling that caps further warming. Mid-August observations across the region have shown comparable peaks of 31–33°C absent extreme heat domes or typhoon influences, reinforcing trader emphasis on the 31°C outcome as the leading resolution while assigning secondary weight to 32°C based on minor model spread. Upcoming official briefings and real-time station data will refine these market-implied probabilities.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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