Recent forecast updates from agencies including Météo-France and European models indicate a moderating trend for Paris on August 18, 2026, driven by incoming maritime air that limits afternoon heating and supports daily maxima near 26–28°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where mean August highs average 24–26°C, though earlier heat earlier in the month reached 33°C before the shift. Consensus across runs points to partly cloudy skies with light winds, reducing the chance of exceeding 29°C or falling below 25°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26°C and 27°C as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observational trends ahead of final resolution based on official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 18 agosto?
26°C 37%
25°C or below 29%
27°C 27%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
$48,023 Vol.
NUOVO
$48,023 Vol.
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
29%
26°C
37%
27°C
27%
28°C
6%
29°C
3%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C or higher
<1%
26°C 37%
25°C or below 29%
27°C 27%
28°C 6%
NUOVO
$48,023 Vol.
NUOVO
$48,023 Vol.
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
$8,169 Vol.
29%
26°C
$9,213 Vol.
37%
27°C
$9,263 Vol.
27%
28°C
$9,282 Vol.
6%
29°C
$5,963 Vol.
3%
30°C
$3,045 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$1,544 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$311 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$330 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$452 Vol.
<1%
35°C or higher
$452 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including Météo-France and European models indicate a moderating trend for Paris on August 18, 2026, driven by incoming maritime air that limits afternoon heating and supports daily maxima near 26–28°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where mean August highs average 24–26°C, though earlier heat earlier in the month reached 33°C before the shift. Consensus across runs points to partly cloudy skies with light winds, reducing the chance of exceeding 29°C or falling below 25°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26°C and 27°C as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observational trends ahead of final resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$48,023Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast updates from agencies including Météo-France and European models indicate a moderating trend for Paris on August 18, 2026, driven by incoming maritime air that limits afternoon heating and supports daily maxima near 26–28°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where mean August highs average 24–26°C, though earlier heat earlier in the month reached 33°C before the shift. Consensus across runs points to partly cloudy skies with light winds, reducing the chance of exceeding 29°C or falling below 25°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26°C and 27°C as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observational trends ahead of final resolution based on official station readings.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$48,023Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecast updates from agencies including Météo-France and European models indicate a moderating trend for Paris on August 18, 2026, driven by incoming maritime air that limits afternoon heating and supports daily maxima near 26–28°C. This aligns with late-summer climatology, where mean August highs average 24–26°C, though earlier heat earlier in the month reached 33°C before the shift. Consensus across runs points to partly cloudy skies with light winds, reducing the chance of exceeding 29°C or falling below 25°C. Market-implied odds concentrate on 26°C and 27°C as traders incorporate the latest model guidance and observational trends ahead of final resolution based on official station readings.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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