Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 19 shows balanced uncertainty, with 23°C and 24°C each carrying 25.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to an approaching Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating or allow brief clearing. Typical August climatology for the Paris region centers near 25°C, yet current model spread reflects modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether highs reach the upper or lower end of the 22–25°C range. Fresh model runs and observational updates expected overnight will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Parigi il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Parigi il 19 agosto?
24°C 27%
23°C 26%
27°C 12%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
$27,227 Vol.
NUOVO
$27,227 Vol.
19 ago 2026
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
5%
22°C
8%
23°C
26%
24°C
27%
25°C
12%
26°C
7%
27°C
12%
28°C
7%
29°C or higher
6%
24°C 27%
23°C 26%
27°C 12%
25°C 12%
NUOVO
$27,227 Vol.
NUOVO
$27,227 Vol.
19 ago 2026
19°C or below
$787 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$974 Vol.
1%
21°C
$1,690 Vol.
5%
22°C
$1,915 Vol.
8%
23°C
$3,001 Vol.
26%
24°C
$2,505 Vol.
27%
25°C
$1,499 Vol.
12%
26°C
$1,804 Vol.
7%
27°C
$3,007 Vol.
12%
28°C
$3,969 Vol.
7%
29°C or higher
$6,074 Vol.
6%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 19 shows balanced uncertainty, with 23°C and 24°C each carrying 25.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to an approaching Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating or allow brief clearing. Typical August climatology for the Paris region centers near 25°C, yet current model spread reflects modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether highs reach the upper or lower end of the 22–25°C range. Fresh model runs and observational updates expected overnight will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ET
Volume
$27,227Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 19 shows balanced uncertainty, with 23°C and 24°C each carrying 25.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to an approaching Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating or allow brief clearing. Typical August climatology for the Paris region centers near 25°C, yet current model spread reflects modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether highs reach the upper or lower end of the 22–25°C range. Fresh model runs and observational updates expected overnight will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$27,227Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:55 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPBResolver
0x69c47De9D...Trader sentiment for Paris's peak temperature on August 19 shows balanced uncertainty, with 23°C and 24°C each carrying 25.5% implied probability amid closely matched outcomes. Short-range ensemble forecasts from ECMWF and GFS highlight sensitivity to an approaching Atlantic trough and variable cloud cover that could limit daytime heating or allow brief clearing. Typical August climatology for the Paris region centers near 25°C, yet current model spread reflects modest differences in boundary-layer moisture and wind direction that determine whether highs reach the upper or lower end of the 22–25°C range. Fresh model runs and observational updates expected overnight will likely tighten these probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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