Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and models position Tokyo's August 18 high near the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (43%) and 30°C (29%). Typical midsummer conditions feature average daily maxima of 31°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and 70–80% humidity that sustains warmth even under partial cloud cover or light showers. Recent updates show no intense heatwave or clear-sky intensification pushing readings to 33°C or above, keeping those probabilities lower at 8% and under. Traders weigh these observational baselines against short-term steering patterns and precipitation chances that cap peak temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 18 agosto?
31°C 32%
30°C 32%
32°C 19%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
$34,610 Vol.
NUOVO
$34,610 Vol.
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
8%
30°C
32%
31°C
32%
32°C
19%
33°C
9%
34°C
2%
35°C or higher
<1%
31°C 32%
30°C 32%
32°C 19%
33°C 9%
NUOVO
$34,610 Vol.
NUOVO
$34,610 Vol.
18 ago 2026
25°C or below
$686 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$583 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$2,085 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$4,577 Vol.
1%
29°C
$3,183 Vol.
8%
30°C
$4,018 Vol.
32%
31°C
$5,389 Vol.
32%
32°C
$5,105 Vol.
19%
33°C
$3,876 Vol.
9%
34°C
$2,286 Vol.
2%
35°C or higher
$2,822 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and models position Tokyo's August 18 high near the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (43%) and 30°C (29%). Typical midsummer conditions feature average daily maxima of 31°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and 70–80% humidity that sustains warmth even under partial cloud cover or light showers. Recent updates show no intense heatwave or clear-sky intensification pushing readings to 33°C or above, keeping those probabilities lower at 8% and under. Traders weigh these observational baselines against short-term steering patterns and precipitation chances that cap peak temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$34,610Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and models position Tokyo's August 18 high near the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (43%) and 30°C (29%). Typical midsummer conditions feature average daily maxima of 31°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and 70–80% humidity that sustains warmth even under partial cloud cover or light showers. Recent updates show no intense heatwave or clear-sky intensification pushing readings to 33°C or above, keeping those probabilities lower at 8% and under. Traders weigh these observational baselines against short-term steering patterns and precipitation chances that cap peak temperatures.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$34,610Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from the Japan Meteorological Agency and models position Tokyo's August 18 high near the 30–32°C range, aligning with the market's leading outcomes at 31°C (43%) and 30°C (29%). Typical midsummer conditions feature average daily maxima of 31°C, amplified by urban heat island effects and 70–80% humidity that sustains warmth even under partial cloud cover or light showers. Recent updates show no intense heatwave or clear-sky intensification pushing readings to 33°C or above, keeping those probabilities lower at 8% and under. Traders weigh these observational baselines against short-term steering patterns and precipitation chances that cap peak temperatures.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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