Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 19 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa a Shanghai il 19 agosto?
27°C 60%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
6%
26°C
33%
27°C
60%
28°C
6%
29°C
2%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
27°C 60%
26°C 33%
28°C 6%
25°C 6%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$535 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$125 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$44 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$49 Vol.
1%
25°C
$86 Vol.
6%
26°C
$706 Vol.
33%
27°C
$752 Vol.
60%
28°C
$237 Vol.
6%
29°C
$276 Vol.
2%
30°C
$62 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$311 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$3,184Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,184Data di fine
19 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 17, 2026, 12:28 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from sources like TimeandDate and AccuWeather indicate Shanghai's minimum temperature on August 19 will likely fall between 25–27°C, driven by persistent subtropical high pressure, elevated humidity near 70–80%, and limited overnight radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows highs near 32–34°C with scattered showers or thundershowers possible, which moderate temperature drops compared to clearer nights. These conditions align with typical mid-August climatology for the region, where daily lows average 25–26°C, keeping the 26–27°C outcomes dominant in trader positioning. Updated model runs and local meteorological briefings over the next 12–24 hours represent the primary near-term catalysts that could shift implied probabilities if cloud cover or precipitation deviates.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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