Forecast model ensembles show tight clustering around a 6–9°C minimum for Munich tonight, with the 9°C outcome leading at 37% amid subtle differences in predicted radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Clearer intervals would enhance longwave heat loss from the urban surface, favoring the lower end of the range near 6–7°C, while increased low-level moisture or light winds promote mixing and support the higher 8–9°C consensus. Regional high-resolution runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate minimal advection of cooler air, keeping outcomes sensitive to small errors in cloud timing and boundary-layer stability rather than synoptic shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Monaco il 23 agosto?
8°C 30%
7°C 18%
6°C 16%
5°C or below <1%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
20%
7°C
18%
8°C
30%
9°C
40%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
8°C 30%
7°C 18%
6°C 16%
5°C or below <1%
5°C or below
1%
6°C
20%
7°C
18%
8°C
30%
9°C
40%
10°C
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Munich Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDM.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/de/munich/EDDMResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast model ensembles show tight clustering around a 6–9°C minimum for Munich tonight, with the 9°C outcome leading at 37% amid subtle differences in predicted radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Clearer intervals would enhance longwave heat loss from the urban surface, favoring the lower end of the range near 6–7°C, while increased low-level moisture or light winds promote mixing and support the higher 8–9°C consensus. Regional high-resolution runs from the German Weather Service and ECMWF indicate minimal advection of cooler air, keeping outcomes sensitive to small errors in cloud timing and boundary-layer stability rather than synoptic shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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