Stable high-pressure systems and clear nocturnal radiative cooling under dry August conditions over the Po Valley have driven Milan's overnight minimum to 15°C, aligning with real-time station observations and locking in the market-implied consensus at 100%. Official meteorological data confirm this threshold through standard thermometer measurements at representative urban sites, consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer lows near 17–19°C but shifted lower by localized clear-sky effects. Model runs from ECMWF and GFS had previously pointed higher, yet updated surface analyses now support the outcome. Only an unseasonal warm-air advection or measurement revision from the primary reporting station could realistically alter resolution before the daily minimum is finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Milano il 23 agosto?
15°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$5,037 Vol.
$5,037 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
15°C 100.0%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
13°C or below <1%
$5,037 Vol.
$5,037 Vol.
13°C or below
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C or higher
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Malpensa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Malpensa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/it/milan/LIMCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Stable high-pressure systems and clear nocturnal radiative cooling under dry August conditions over the Po Valley have driven Milan's overnight minimum to 15°C, aligning with real-time station observations and locking in the market-implied consensus at 100%. Official meteorological data confirm this threshold through standard thermometer measurements at representative urban sites, consistent with climatological expectations for late-summer lows near 17–19°C but shifted lower by localized clear-sky effects. Model runs from ECMWF and GFS had previously pointed higher, yet updated surface analyses now support the outcome. Only an unseasonal warm-air advection or measurement revision from the primary reporting station could realistically alter resolution before the daily minimum is finalized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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