Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Londra il 25 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Londra il 25 agosto?
17°C 38%
16°C 23%
18°C 16%
15°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
4%
14°C
5%
15°C
15%
16°C
23%
17°C
38%
18°C
16%
19°C
6%
20°C
1%
21°C o superiore
1%
17°C 38%
16°C 23%
18°C 16%
15°C 15%
NUOVO
NUOVO
25 ago 2026
11°C o inferiore
$10 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$10 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$80 Vol.
4%
14°C
$26 Vol.
5%
15°C
$36 Vol.
15%
16°C
$382 Vol.
23%
17°C
$192 Vol.
38%
18°C
$47 Vol.
16%
19°C
$82 Vol.
6%
20°C
$5 Vol.
1%
21°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$875Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 25 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglc
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$875Data di fine
25 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 23, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eglcResolver
0x69c47De9D...Ensemble forecasts from the Met Office and ECMWF currently favor a London overnight low of 16–17 °C on August 25, reflecting a mild southwesterly airflow that limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies. Model consensus shows modest spread around this range because of uncertainty in cloud cover and boundary-layer mixing; clearer conditions could allow readings near 15 °C while increased moisture or wind would hold values at 17–18 °C. Historical mid-to-late August minima average near 14 °C, so the current pattern sits slightly above climatology. Traders appear to be pricing the narrow window between these outcomes, with resolution hinging on the official observation at a designated London station once the 24-hour period ends.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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