Trader consensus favors 26–27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 7, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and a broad cloud band over southern China are suppressing radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 26°C set a firm floor consistent with early-September climatology. The approaching northeast monsoon is expected to freshen winds only after midweek, leaving minimal influence on this date. Model consensus shows low variability in minimums, producing closely matched implied probabilities across adjacent bins; any shift in cloud cover or timing of clearer skies could alter the exact low before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 7 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 7 settembre?
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
22°C o inferiore 32%
24°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
32%
23°C
22%
24°C
24%
25°C
9%
26°C
38%
27°C
39%
28°C
14%
29°C
19%
30°C
19%
31°C
2%
32°C o superiore
14%
27°C 39%
26°C 38%
22°C o inferiore 32%
24°C 24%
NUOVO
NUOVO
7 set 2026
22°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
32%
23°C
$0 Vol.
22%
24°C
$0 Vol.
24%
25°C
$83 Vol.
9%
26°C
$0 Vol.
38%
27°C
$0 Vol.
39%
28°C
$20 Vol.
14%
29°C
$0 Vol.
19%
30°C
$0 Vol.
19%
31°C
$0 Vol.
2%
32°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
14%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 26–27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 7, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and a broad cloud band over southern China are suppressing radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 26°C set a firm floor consistent with early-September climatology. The approaching northeast monsoon is expected to freshen winds only after midweek, leaving minimal influence on this date. Model consensus shows low variability in minimums, producing closely matched implied probabilities across adjacent bins; any shift in cloud cover or timing of clearer skies could alter the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$103Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Trader consensus favors 26–27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 7, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and a broad cloud band over southern China are suppressing radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 26°C set a firm floor consistent with early-September climatology. The approaching northeast monsoon is expected to freshen winds only after midweek, leaving minimal influence on this date. Model consensus shows low variability in minimums, producing closely matched implied probabilities across adjacent bins; any shift in cloud cover or timing of clearer skies could alter the exact low before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 7 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$103Data di fine
7 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 5, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Trader consensus favors 26–27°C as Hong Kong’s lowest temperature on September 7, reflecting Hong Kong Observatory guidance of 26–31°C overnight under mostly cloudy skies with scattered showers. Light winds and a broad cloud band over southern China are suppressing radiative cooling, while sea-surface temperatures near 26°C set a firm floor consistent with early-September climatology. The approaching northeast monsoon is expected to freshen winds only after midweek, leaving minimal influence on this date. Model consensus shows low variability in minimums, producing closely matched implied probabilities across adjacent bins; any shift in cloud cover or timing of clearer skies could alter the exact low before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti