**Strong market consensus around a 15°C high for Wellington on September 5 reflects consistent observational data and short-term forecast guidance showing an afternoon peak near that threshold.** Recent reports from Wellington International Airport recorded 15°C under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with model consensus for mild spring conditions typical of early September in the region. Historical baselines for the date place average highs around 13–14°C, with the current setup—moderate winds and limited cloud cover—supporting a modest exceedance without pushing into higher ranges. Traders appear to view the outcome as highly probable given the narrow spread in official guidance and the absence of signals for rapid warming or clearer conditions that could elevate readings. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement variance across stations would realistically alter this positioning before daily resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wellington il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Wellington il 5 settembre?
15°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
$51,940 Vol.
$51,940 Vol.
5 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
<1%
11°C
<1%
12°C
<1%
13°C
<1%
14°C
<1%
15°C
100%
16°C
<1%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C o superiore
<1%
15°C 99.6%
16°C <1%
10°C o inferiore <1%
11°C <1%
$51,940 Vol.
$51,940 Vol.
5 set 2026
10°C o inferiore
$250 Vol.
<1%
11°C
$403 Vol.
<1%
12°C
$324 Vol.
<1%
13°C
$1,458 Vol.
<1%
14°C
$11,298 Vol.
<1%
15°C
$12,607 Vol.
100%
16°C
$16,021 Vol.
<1%
17°C
$5,762 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$4,358 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$177 Vol.
<1%
20°C o superiore
$231 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus around a 15°C high for Wellington on September 5 reflects consistent observational data and short-term forecast guidance showing an afternoon peak near that threshold.** Recent reports from Wellington International Airport recorded 15°C under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with model consensus for mild spring conditions typical of early September in the region. Historical baselines for the date place average highs around 13–14°C, with the current setup—moderate winds and limited cloud cover—supporting a modest exceedance without pushing into higher ranges. Traders appear to view the outcome as highly probable given the narrow spread in official guidance and the absence of signals for rapid warming or clearer conditions that could elevate readings. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement variance across stations would realistically alter this positioning before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$51,940Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Strong market consensus around a 15°C high for Wellington on September 5 reflects consistent observational data and short-term forecast guidance showing an afternoon peak near that threshold.** Recent reports from Wellington International Airport recorded 15°C under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with model consensus for mild spring conditions typical of early September in the region. Historical baselines for the date place average highs around 13–14°C, with the current setup—moderate winds and limited cloud cover—supporting a modest exceedance without pushing into higher ranges. Traders appear to view the outcome as highly probable given the narrow spread in official guidance and the absence of signals for rapid warming or clearer conditions that could elevate readings. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement variance across stations would realistically alter this positioning before daily resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwn
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$51,940Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=nzwnRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Strong market consensus around a 15°C high for Wellington on September 5 reflects consistent observational data and short-term forecast guidance showing an afternoon peak near that threshold.** Recent reports from Wellington International Airport recorded 15°C under northwesterly flow and partly cloudy skies, aligning with model consensus for mild spring conditions typical of early September in the region. Historical baselines for the date place average highs around 13–14°C, with the current setup—moderate winds and limited cloud cover—supporting a modest exceedance without pushing into higher ranges. Traders appear to view the outcome as highly probable given the narrow spread in official guidance and the absence of signals for rapid warming or clearer conditions that could elevate readings. Only an unexpected shift in steering patterns or measurement variance across stations would realistically alter this positioning before daily resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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