**Forecast models and real-time observations point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C as the dominant driver of current market odds.** Multiple sources project a peak near 32–34°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with early September climatology of roughly 32.7°C average highs. Thunderstorm activity and associated cloud cover are limiting solar heating and capping extremes, while light winds and high humidity further moderate temperatures. Recent hourly data show readings climbing through the low 30s by midday, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C and 35°C outcomes over 36°C+ or sub-33°C results. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Guangzhou il 5 settembre?
35°C 94.9%
36°C 2.7%
37°C o superiore <1%
27°C o inferiore <1%
$92,619 Vol.
$92,619 Vol.
5 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
88%
36°C
3%
37°C o superiore
1%
35°C 94.9%
36°C 2.7%
37°C o superiore <1%
27°C o inferiore <1%
$92,619 Vol.
$92,619 Vol.
5 set 2026
27°C o inferiore
$565 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,662 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,826 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$3,662 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$9,729 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$10,271 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$14,486 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$10,502 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$17,690 Vol.
88%
36°C
$14,122 Vol.
3%
37°C o superiore
$5,104 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C as the dominant driver of current market odds.** Multiple sources project a peak near 32–34°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with early September climatology of roughly 32.7°C average highs. Thunderstorm activity and associated cloud cover are limiting solar heating and capping extremes, while light winds and high humidity further moderate temperatures. Recent hourly data show readings climbing through the low 30s by midday, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C and 35°C outcomes over 36°C+ or sub-33°C results. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$92,619Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Forecast models and real-time observations point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C as the dominant driver of current market odds.** Multiple sources project a peak near 32–34°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with early September climatology of roughly 32.7°C average highs. Thunderstorm activity and associated cloud cover are limiting solar heating and capping extremes, while light winds and high humidity further moderate temperatures. Recent hourly data show readings climbing through the low 30s by midday, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C and 35°C outcomes over 36°C+ or sub-33°C results. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zggg
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$92,619Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zgggRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Forecast models and real-time observations point to afternoon highs in the low-to-mid 30s°C as the dominant driver of current market odds.** Multiple sources project a peak near 32–34°C at Guangzhou Baiyun International Airport under partly cloudy skies with scattered thunderstorms, consistent with early September climatology of roughly 32.7°C average highs. Thunderstorm activity and associated cloud cover are limiting solar heating and capping extremes, while light winds and high humidity further moderate temperatures. Recent hourly data show readings climbing through the low 30s by midday, supporting the market’s heavy weighting toward 34°C and 35°C outcomes over 36°C+ or sub-33°C results. Updated model runs and official observations through the afternoon will refine these probabilities ahead of final resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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