Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Manila il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Manila il 5 settembre?
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
23°C o meno <1%
24°C <1%
$30,297 Vol.
$30,297 Vol.
5 set 2026
23°C o meno
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
100%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
29°C 99.6%
30°C <1%
23°C o meno <1%
24°C <1%
$30,297 Vol.
$30,297 Vol.
5 set 2026
23°C o meno
$155 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$791 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,011 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,854 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$8,904 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$3,015 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$3,349 Vol.
100%
30°C
$4,181 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$2,104 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$1,134 Vol.
<1%
33°C o superiore
$799 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$30,297Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Ninoy Aquino International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpll
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$30,297Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=rpllRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Persistent southwest monsoon activity, including heavy rainfall warnings from PAGASA, has produced widespread cloud cover and thunderstorms over Metro Manila on September 5, limiting solar heating and keeping daytime maxima suppressed near 28°C according to multiple forecast models. This aligns with the market's strong 97.5% implied probability for a 29°C high, consistent with observed conditions around 27–28°C amid 80–100% humidity, moderate-to-strong westerly winds, and precipitation totals of 25–50 mm or more. Historical September averages near 30–31°C provide context, but the current pattern deviates due to enhanced monsoon flow. A rapid clearing of clouds or delayed rainfall could allow brief warming toward 30°C, though model consensus and ongoing advisories make this unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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