Recent official forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service and Met Office indicate Munich will experience mostly clear skies and light easterly winds on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 23–24 °C. This places the market’s leading 24 °C outcome (51 % implied probability) in line with model consensus, while the combined 23 °C and 25 °C probabilities reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C. September climatology, with an average high of 21.2 °C, provides a moderate baseline, and the absence of strong southerly flow or blocking highs limits the chance of exceeding 26 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through September 5 continue to reinforce this narrow temperature window ahead of the market’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più alta a Monaco di Baviera il 6 settembre?
24°C 52%
25°C 18%
23°C 17%
22°C 4%
NUOVO
$28,495 Vol.
NUOVO
$28,495 Vol.
6 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
1%
21°C
2%
22°C
4%
23°C
17%
24°C
52%
25°C
18%
26°C
4%
27°C
1%
28°C o superiore
2%
24°C 52%
25°C 18%
23°C 17%
22°C 4%
NUOVO
$28,495 Vol.
NUOVO
$28,495 Vol.
6 set 2026
18°C o inferiore
$375 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$25,362 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$280 Vol.
1%
21°C
$89 Vol.
2%
22°C
$439 Vol.
4%
23°C
$652 Vol.
17%
24°C
$847 Vol.
52%
25°C
$418 Vol.
18%
26°C
$17 Vol.
4%
27°C
$11 Vol.
1%
28°C o superiore
$5 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service and Met Office indicate Munich will experience mostly clear skies and light easterly winds on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 23–24 °C. This places the market’s leading 24 °C outcome (51 % implied probability) in line with model consensus, while the combined 23 °C and 25 °C probabilities reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C. September climatology, with an average high of 21.2 °C, provides a moderate baseline, and the absence of strong southerly flow or blocking highs limits the chance of exceeding 26 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through September 5 continue to reinforce this narrow temperature window ahead of the market’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$28,495Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service and Met Office indicate Munich will experience mostly clear skies and light easterly winds on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 23–24 °C. This places the market’s leading 24 °C outcome (51 % implied probability) in line with model consensus, while the combined 23 °C and 25 °C probabilities reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C. September climatology, with an average high of 21.2 °C, provides a moderate baseline, and the absence of strong southerly flow or blocking highs limits the chance of exceeding 26 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through September 5 continue to reinforce this narrow temperature window ahead of the market’s resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$28,495Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from agencies including the German Weather Service and Met Office indicate Munich will experience mostly clear skies and light easterly winds on September 6, supporting daytime heating to a maximum near 23–24 °C. This places the market’s leading 24 °C outcome (51 % implied probability) in line with model consensus, while the combined 23 °C and 25 °C probabilities reflect typical forecast uncertainty ranges of ±1–2 °C. September climatology, with an average high of 21.2 °C, provides a moderate baseline, and the absence of strong southerly flow or blocking highs limits the chance of exceeding 26 °C. Updated model runs and observational data through September 5 continue to reinforce this narrow temperature window ahead of the market’s resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti