Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 4 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 4 settembre?
26°C 99.4%
20°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 Vol.
$25,136 Vol.
4 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
99%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 99.4%
20°C o inferiore <1%
24°C <1%
23°C <1%
$25,136 Vol.
$25,136 Vol.
4 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$1,964 Vol.
1%
21°C
$134 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$558 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$1,569 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,615 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$7,876 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$4,574 Vol.
99%
27°C
$2,962 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$2,691 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$1,034 Vol.
<1%
30°C o superiore
$160 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$25,136Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 4 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve once data for this date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the seventh day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$25,136Data di fine
4 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 2, 2026, 12:29 AM ETRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Official Hong Kong Observatory measurements recorded a daily minimum of 26°C on September 4, 2026, driving the near-certain market-implied odds for that outcome. Persistent cloud cover, high relative humidity near 80-90%, and light southerly winds limited nocturnal radiative cooling under typical late-summer subtropical conditions, keeping temperatures from dropping further. This aligns with climatological baselines showing September minima averaging 24.7–25.8°C and recent model guidance anticipating stable overnight warmth. A sudden clear-sky break or unforecasted cold-air intrusion could have allowed readings to reach 24°C or below, yet no such atmospheric shift materialized.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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