Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions including high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress nighttime radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of average lows around 26–27°C and a broader seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Model consensus supports clustering in the 26–28°C range, with limited potential for sharper drops unless stronger northeasterly flow or clearer skies develop. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency alongside uncertainty from short-term forecast variability, with upcoming daily HKO updates and refined numerical guidance likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Hong Kong il 15 agosto?
27°C 32%
26°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
5%
23°C
6%
24°C
9%
25°C
18%
26°C
20%
27°C
32%
28°C
18%
29°C
11%
30°C
14%
31°C
1%
32°C o superiore
1%
27°C 32%
26°C 20%
28°C 18%
25°C 18%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
22°C o inferiore
$22 Vol.
5%
23°C
$22 Vol.
6%
24°C
$15 Vol.
9%
25°C
$0 Vol.
18%
26°C
$0 Vol.
20%
27°C
$0 Vol.
32%
28°C
$0 Vol.
18%
29°C
$0 Vol.
11%
30°C
$34 Vol.
14%
31°C
$12 Vol.
1%
32°C o superiore
$34 Vol.
1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions including high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress nighttime radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of average lows around 26–27°C and a broader seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Model consensus supports clustering in the 26–28°C range, with limited potential for sharper drops unless stronger northeasterly flow or clearer skies develop. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency alongside uncertainty from short-term forecast variability, with upcoming daily HKO updates and refined numerical guidance likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Volume
$138Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions including high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress nighttime radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of average lows around 26–27°C and a broader seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Model consensus supports clustering in the 26–28°C range, with limited potential for sharper drops unless stronger northeasterly flow or clearer skies develop. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency alongside uncertainty from short-term forecast variability, with upcoming daily HKO updates and refined numerical guidance likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Volume
$138Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:28 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the Hong Kong Observatory indicate minimum temperatures near 27°C on August 15, driven by persistent subtropical summer conditions including high humidity, variable cloud cover, and scattered showers that suppress nighttime radiative cooling. These align with August climatology of average lows around 26–27°C and a broader seasonal outlook for normal-to-above-normal temperatures amid ongoing climate warming trends. Model consensus supports clustering in the 26–28°C range, with limited potential for sharper drops unless stronger northeasterly flow or clearer skies develop. Trader sentiment reflects this central tendency alongside uncertainty from short-term forecast variability, with upcoming daily HKO updates and refined numerical guidance likely to refine probabilities before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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