Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to thundery showers and increased cloud cover developing over Wuhan by August 13, moderating daytime highs below the seasonal August average of 32–35°C. This synoptic pattern—driven by southerly flow and potential convective activity—favors maximum temperatures clustering around 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress peaks by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, alongside minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Wuhan il 13 agosto?
28°C 32%
29°C 26%
27°C 23%
30°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
<1%
24°C
1%
25°C
2%
26°C
8%
27°C
23%
28°C
32%
29°C
26%
30°C
13%
31°C
4%
32°C
1%
33°C o superiore
<1%
28°C 32%
29°C 26%
27°C 23%
30°C 13%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
23°C o inferiore
$593 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$598 Vol.
1%
25°C
$491 Vol.
2%
26°C
$27 Vol.
8%
27°C
$887 Vol.
23%
28°C
$578 Vol.
32%
29°C
$307 Vol.
26%
30°C
$202 Vol.
13%
31°C
$206 Vol.
4%
32°C
$16 Vol.
1%
33°C o superiore
$80 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to thundery showers and increased cloud cover developing over Wuhan by August 13, moderating daytime highs below the seasonal August average of 32–35°C. This synoptic pattern—driven by southerly flow and potential convective activity—favors maximum temperatures clustering around 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress peaks by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, alongside minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$3,986Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to thundery showers and increased cloud cover developing over Wuhan by August 13, moderating daytime highs below the seasonal August average of 32–35°C. This synoptic pattern—driven by southerly flow and potential convective activity—favors maximum temperatures clustering around 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress peaks by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, alongside minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the observation window.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wuhan Tianhe International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHH.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,986Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/wuhan/ZHHHResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent numerical weather prediction models from sources like the China Meteorological Administration point to thundery showers and increased cloud cover developing over Wuhan by August 13, moderating daytime highs below the seasonal August average of 32–35°C. This synoptic pattern—driven by southerly flow and potential convective activity—favors maximum temperatures clustering around 28–29°C, aligning with the closely matched market-implied odds for those outcomes. Key variables include the precise timing and coverage of precipitation, which could suppress peaks by 2–4°C through evaporative cooling and reduced insolation, alongside minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. Updated short-range guidance expected within the next 24–48 hours will refine these projections ahead of the observation window.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti