Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Londra il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Londra il 12 agosto?
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 22.1%
33°C 6%
NUOVO
$14,703 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,703 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
1%
28°C
3%
29°C
5%
30°C
26%
31°C
37%
32°C
22%
33°C
6%
34°C o superiore
2%
31°C 37%
30°C 26%
32°C 22.1%
33°C 6%
NUOVO
$14,703 Vol.
NUOVO
$14,703 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
$667 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$785 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$535 Vol.
1%
28°C
$794 Vol.
3%
29°C
$2,222 Vol.
5%
30°C
$3,715 Vol.
26%
31°C
$3,100 Vol.
37%
32°C
$974 Vol.
22%
33°C
$616 Vol.
6%
34°C o superiore
$902 Vol.
2%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$14,703Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the London City Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the London City Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$14,703Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/gb/london/EGLCResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent short-range forecasts from sources including the Met Office and AccuWeather indicate London will experience sunny conditions with a building high-pressure ridge and southerly warm-air advection on August 12, supporting daytime maxima near 31°C. Ensemble model guidance shows limited spread around this value, consistent with the market-implied probabilities favoring 30–32°C outcomes. Above-average seasonal temperatures across southern England, driven by persistent anticyclonic patterns and below-normal rainfall, provide climatological support for these levels, though modest model uncertainty around cloud cover or timing of any frontal approach could shift the precise peak by 1–2°C. Updated NWP runs and observational data over the next 48 hours will refine the consensus ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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