Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather points to typical mid-August conditions in Istanbul, with daytime highs near 28°C driven by Mediterranean summer patterns, moderate humidity, and sea-breeze effects that limit extremes. Historical baselines show August averages of 27–29°C, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 28°C and adjacent outcomes. No major heatwave, cold front, or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the past week to shift probabilities toward higher or lower thresholds. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any last adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Istanbul il 12 agosto?
28°C 54%
27°C 26%
29°C 19%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
2%
27°C
26%
28°C
54%
29°C
19%
30°C
4%
31°C
1%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 54%
27°C 26%
29°C 19%
30°C 4%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
23°C or below
$123 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$60 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$182 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$138 Vol.
2%
27°C
$587 Vol.
26%
28°C
$727 Vol.
54%
29°C
$242 Vol.
19%
30°C
$92 Vol.
4%
31°C
$126 Vol.
1%
32°C
$5 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$689 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather points to typical mid-August conditions in Istanbul, with daytime highs near 28°C driven by Mediterranean summer patterns, moderate humidity, and sea-breeze effects that limit extremes. Historical baselines show August averages of 27–29°C, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 28°C and adjacent outcomes. No major heatwave, cold front, or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the past week to shift probabilities toward higher or lower thresholds. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ET
Volume
$2,970Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather points to typical mid-August conditions in Istanbul, with daytime highs near 28°C driven by Mediterranean summer patterns, moderate humidity, and sea-breeze effects that limit extremes. Historical baselines show August averages of 27–29°C, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 28°C and adjacent outcomes. No major heatwave, cold front, or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the past week to shift probabilities toward higher or lower thresholds. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any last adjustments.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Istanbul Airport in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LTFM
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,970Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:06 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent weather model consensus from sources like AccuWeather points to typical mid-August conditions in Istanbul, with daytime highs near 28°C driven by Mediterranean summer patterns, moderate humidity, and sea-breeze effects that limit extremes. Historical baselines show August averages of 27–29°C, aligning closely with the market's heaviest weighting on 28°C and adjacent outcomes. No major heatwave, cold front, or anomalous atmospheric setup has emerged in the past week to shift probabilities toward higher or lower thresholds. Upcoming National Meteorological Service updates and refined short-range forecasts over the next 48 hours will provide the key data points traders are monitoring for any last adjustments.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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