Forecast consensus from models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds over Tel Aviv on August 12, supporting peak temperatures near the seasonal August average of 31–32 °C but currently tracking 33–34 °C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer mixing introduce the key uncertainty separating the near-even 34 °C and 35 °C market leaders, as slight differences in timing or strength of onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread beyond that range, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 12 agosto?
35°C 44%
34°C 41%
36°C 9%
33°C 7%
32°C o inferiore
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
41%
35°C
44%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C o superiore
<1%
35°C 44%
34°C 41%
36°C 9%
33°C 7%
32°C o inferiore
1%
33°C
7%
34°C
41%
35°C
44%
36°C
9%
37°C
2%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C
<1%
41°C
<1%
42°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:04 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast consensus from models and the Israel Meteorological Service points to a stable subtropical high-pressure ridge delivering clear skies and light winds over Tel Aviv on August 12, supporting peak temperatures near the seasonal August average of 31–32 °C but currently tracking 33–34 °C. Coastal sea-breeze moderation and boundary-layer mixing introduce the key uncertainty separating the near-even 34 °C and 35 °C market leaders, as slight differences in timing or strength of onshore flow can shift the daily maximum by 1 °C. Recent model runs show minimal spread beyond that range, with no major synoptic changes expected before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato

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