Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Gedda il 13 agosto?
41°C o superiore 48%
40°C 24%
39°C 18%
38°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
<1%
35°C
<1%
36°C
1%
37°C
5%
38°C
9%
39°C
18%
40°C
24%
41°C o superiore
48%
41°C o superiore 48%
40°C 24%
39°C 18%
38°C 9%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
31°C o inferiore
$386 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$386 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$376 Vol.
<1%
35°C
$28 Vol.
<1%
36°C
$960 Vol.
1%
37°C
$163 Vol.
5%
38°C
$76 Vol.
9%
39°C
$65 Vol.
18%
40°C
$392 Vol.
24%
41°C o superiore
$96 Vol.
48%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ET
Volume
$3,304Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,304Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 1:04 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Seasonal August heat in Jeddah’s arid Red Sea coastal climate drives the 43.5% market-implied probability for a 41°C or higher daily maximum, as long-term climatology shows average highs near 37–38°C with frequent excursions above 40°C from persistent subtropical high pressure and minimal cloud cover. Recent AccuWeather model guidance for mid-August 2026 indicates potential peaks near 43°C amid typical low precipitation and high solar insolation, while historical variability allows for 39–40°C outcomes favored by the combined 41% probability on 39–40°C. Short-range forecast updates from agencies like the Saudi National Center for Meteorology will refine steering patterns and any localized sea-breeze moderation ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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