Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for a Toronto high near 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, directly explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C outcomes. Variable cloud cover modulates incoming solar radiation and thus peak surface heating, while any afternoon convection introduces localized cooling through evaporation and reduced insolation—factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show modest spread around this range, with historical August analogs under similar synoptic setups rarely exceeding 28°C when precipitation risk remains elevated. Market-implied odds therefore embed real uncertainty over whether partial clearing allows brief warming spikes or persistent clouds cap readings closer to 25°C, consistent with official station data from Pearson Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Toronto il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Toronto il 12 agosto?
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
$33,900 Vol.
NUOVO
$33,900 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
6%
25°C
21%
26°C
31%
27°C
27%
28°C
13%
29°C
4%
30°C
2%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C or higher
<1%
26°C 31%
27°C 27%
25°C 21%
28°C 13%
NUOVO
$33,900 Vol.
NUOVO
$33,900 Vol.
12 ago 2026
24°C or below
$11,610 Vol.
6%
25°C
$2,549 Vol.
21%
26°C
$2,152 Vol.
31%
27°C
$5,455 Vol.
27%
28°C
$3,771 Vol.
13%
29°C
$2,633 Vol.
4%
30°C
$1,966 Vol.
2%
31°C
$2,162 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$811 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$395 Vol.
<1%
34°C or higher
$395 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for a Toronto high near 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, directly explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C outcomes. Variable cloud cover modulates incoming solar radiation and thus peak surface heating, while any afternoon convection introduces localized cooling through evaporation and reduced insolation—factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show modest spread around this range, with historical August analogs under similar synoptic setups rarely exceeding 28°C when precipitation risk remains elevated. Market-implied odds therefore embed real uncertainty over whether partial clearing allows brief warming spikes or persistent clouds cap readings closer to 25°C, consistent with official station data from Pearson Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ET
Volume
$33,900Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for a Toronto high near 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, directly explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C outcomes. Variable cloud cover modulates incoming solar radiation and thus peak surface heating, while any afternoon convection introduces localized cooling through evaporation and reduced insolation—factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show modest spread around this range, with historical August analogs under similar synoptic setups rarely exceeding 28°C when precipitation risk remains elevated. Market-implied odds therefore embed real uncertainty over whether partial clearing allows brief warming spikes or persistent clouds cap readings closer to 25°C, consistent with official station data from Pearson Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Toronto Pearson Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZ.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$33,900Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 9:02 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/ca/mississauga/CYYZResolver
0x69c47De9D...Environment Canada’s latest forecast calls for a Toronto high near 27°C under mainly cloudy skies with a 30-40% chance of showers or thunderstorms, directly explaining why trader consensus clusters tightly on 25–27°C outcomes. Variable cloud cover modulates incoming solar radiation and thus peak surface heating, while any afternoon convection introduces localized cooling through evaporation and reduced insolation—factors that can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C depending on timing and coverage. Ensemble models show modest spread around this range, with historical August analogs under similar synoptic setups rarely exceeding 28°C when precipitation risk remains elevated. Market-implied odds therefore embed real uncertainty over whether partial clearing allows brief warming spikes or persistent clouds cap readings closer to 25°C, consistent with official station data from Pearson Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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