Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Pechino il 12 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Pechino il 12 agosto?
26°C 30%
27°C 30%
28°C 16%
25°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
3%
25°C
10%
26°C
30%
27°C
30%
28°C
16%
29°C
6%
30°C
2%
31°C
1%
32°C or higher
<1%
26°C 30%
27°C 30%
28°C 16%
25°C 10%
NUOVO
NUOVO
12 ago 2026
22°C or below
$413 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$297 Vol.
1%
24°C
$526 Vol.
3%
25°C
$592 Vol.
10%
26°C
$242 Vol.
30%
27°C
$1,784 Vol.
30%
28°C
$134 Vol.
16%
29°C
$344 Vol.
6%
30°C
$93 Vol.
2%
31°C
$74 Vol.
1%
32°C or higher
$92 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ET
Volume
$4,593Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 12 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$4,593Data di fine
12 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 10, 2026, 12:05 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from meteorological agencies highlight moderating conditions in Beijing, with increased cloud cover, potential heavy rain, and a high near 27–28°C on August 12 driven by seasonal transition toward Liqiu and associated frontal systems. Ensemble models show close agreement on suppressed daytime heating compared to earlier August peaks above 32°C, though minor variations in precipitation timing and wind patterns create tight uncertainty between 26°C and 28°C outcomes. Historical climatology places typical mid-August maxima around 30–31°C, making the current cooler outlook the dominant factor behind the near-even market odds on 26°C and 27°C. Updated model runs and official briefings over the next 48 hours will refine these projections ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Fai attenzione ai link esterni.
Domande frequenti