Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate daily highs near 38–40°C through mid-August, consistent with historical August averages of 38°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by intense solar heating, low cloud cover, and Red Sea moisture. With the market resolution date only two days away, model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability around the 39–40°C threshold, positioning 40°C or higher as the narrow leader at 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the potential for brief heat spikes against stable subtropical high-pressure patterns typical for the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Gedda il 15 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Gedda il 15 agosto?
40°C o superiore 52%
39°C 20%
38°C 12%
37°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
30°C o inferiore
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C
<1%
33°C
<1%
34°C
1%
35°C
1%
36°C
1%
37°C
11%
38°C
12%
39°C
20%
40°C o superiore
52%
40°C o superiore 52%
39°C 20%
38°C 12%
37°C 11%
NUOVO
NUOVO
15 ago 2026
30°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$186 Vol.
<1%
32°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
33°C
$0 Vol.
<1%
34°C
$0 Vol.
1%
35°C
$0 Vol.
1%
36°C
$0 Vol.
1%
37°C
$0 Vol.
11%
38°C
$0 Vol.
12%
39°C
$0 Vol.
20%
40°C o superiore
$56 Vol.
52%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate daily highs near 38–40°C through mid-August, consistent with historical August averages of 38°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by intense solar heating, low cloud cover, and Red Sea moisture. With the market resolution date only two days away, model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability around the 39–40°C threshold, positioning 40°C or higher as the narrow leader at 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the potential for brief heat spikes against stable subtropical high-pressure patterns typical for the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$242Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate daily highs near 38–40°C through mid-August, consistent with historical August averages of 38°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by intense solar heating, low cloud cover, and Red Sea moisture. With the market resolution date only two days away, model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability around the 39–40°C threshold, positioning 40°C or higher as the narrow leader at 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the potential for brief heat spikes against stable subtropical high-pressure patterns typical for the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the King Abdulaziz International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$242Data di fine
15 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 13, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/sa/jeddah/OEJNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent meteorological forecasts for Jeddah indicate daily highs near 38–40°C through mid-August, consistent with historical August averages of 38°C and occasional peaks above 40°C driven by intense solar heating, low cloud cover, and Red Sea moisture. With the market resolution date only two days away, model consensus from sources like timeanddate and AccuWeather shows limited day-to-day variability around the 39–40°C threshold, positioning 40°C or higher as the narrow leader at 51.5% implied probability. Traders appear to weigh the potential for brief heat spikes against stable subtropical high-pressure patterns typical for the season. Updated short-range forecasts expected in the next 24–48 hours could refine these odds.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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