Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs for mid-August indicate a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the Pacific high-pressure system combined with lingering summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon thunderstorm timing or insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the urban heat island effect and typical sea-breeze moderation keep extremes unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations expected through August 12 will refine steering patterns and precipitation probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 13 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Tokyo il 13 agosto?
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
27°C 20%
30°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
23°C or below
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
1%
26°C
5%
27°C
20%
28°C
29%
29°C
28%
30°C
14%
31°C
5%
32°C
2%
33°C or higher
<1%
28°C 29%
29°C 28%
27°C 20%
30°C 14%
NUOVO
NUOVO
13 ago 2026
23°C or below
$472 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$92 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$55 Vol.
1%
26°C
$25 Vol.
5%
27°C
$319 Vol.
20%
28°C
$49 Vol.
29%
29°C
$260 Vol.
28%
30°C
$52 Vol.
14%
31°C
$202 Vol.
5%
32°C
$229 Vol.
2%
33°C or higher
$1,165 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs for mid-August indicate a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the Pacific high-pressure system combined with lingering summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon thunderstorm timing or insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the urban heat island effect and typical sea-breeze moderation keep extremes unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations expected through August 12 will refine steering patterns and precipitation probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ET
Volume
$2,920Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs for mid-August indicate a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the Pacific high-pressure system combined with lingering summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon thunderstorm timing or insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the urban heat island effect and typical sea-breeze moderation keep extremes unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations expected through August 12 will refine steering patterns and precipitation probabilities ahead of market resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Tokyo Haneda Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTT.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$2,920Data di fine
13 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 11, 2026, 12:03 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/jp/tokyo/RJTTResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent Japan Meteorological Agency forecasts and ensemble model runs for mid-August indicate a peak temperature near 28–29°C in Tokyo on August 13, driven by the seasonal strength of the Pacific high-pressure system combined with lingering summer humidity and variable cloud cover. Trader consensus clusters tightly around these values because subtle differences in afternoon thunderstorm timing or insolation can shift the daily maximum by 1–2°C, while the urban heat island effect and typical sea-breeze moderation keep extremes unlikely. Updated JMA guidance and satellite observations expected through August 12 will refine steering patterns and precipitation probabilities ahead of market resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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