Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 5, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, reflecting the primary driver behind clustered market-implied odds around 66–73°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect, combined with northeast winds shifting to 10–15 mph, limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. A recent warm spell with daytime highs in the 90s has maintained elevated surface temperatures, reducing the potential for sharper overnight drops. Model consensus shows limited divergence on these factors, though variable lake breeze timing or unexpected cloud cover could shift the minimum by a few degrees within the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings remain the key near-term data point.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 5 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chicago il 5 settembre?
76-77°F 78%
65°F o inferiore 40%
72-73°F 39%
68-69°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
65°F o inferiore
40%
66-67°F
37%
68-69°F
39%
70-71°F
38%
72-73°F
39%
74-75°F
39%
76-77°F
78%
78-79°F
<1%
80-81°F
<1%
82-83°F
<1%
84°F o superiore
<1%
76-77°F 78%
65°F o inferiore 40%
72-73°F 39%
68-69°F 39%
NUOVO
NUOVO
5 set 2026
65°F o inferiore
$0 Vol.
40%
66-67°F
$0 Vol.
37%
68-69°F
$0 Vol.
39%
70-71°F
$0 Vol.
38%
72-73°F
$0 Vol.
39%
74-75°F
$0 Vol.
39%
76-77°F
$30 Vol.
78%
78-79°F
$42 Vol.
<1%
80-81°F
$32 Vol.
<1%
82-83°F
$32 Vol.
<1%
84°F o superiore
$32 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 5, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, reflecting the primary driver behind clustered market-implied odds around 66–73°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect, combined with northeast winds shifting to 10–15 mph, limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. A recent warm spell with daytime highs in the 90s has maintained elevated surface temperatures, reducing the potential for sharper overnight drops. Model consensus shows limited divergence on these factors, though variable lake breeze timing or unexpected cloud cover could shift the minimum by a few degrees within the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings remain the key near-term data point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ET
Volume
$168Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 5, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, reflecting the primary driver behind clustered market-implied odds around 66–73°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect, combined with northeast winds shifting to 10–15 mph, limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. A recent warm spell with daytime highs in the 90s has maintained elevated surface temperatures, reducing the potential for sharper overnight drops. Model consensus shows limited divergence on these factors, though variable lake breeze timing or unexpected cloud cover could shift the minimum by a few degrees within the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings remain the key near-term data point.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chicago O'Hare Intl Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 5 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kord
This market will resolve off of the Hourly Data provided using the "Show Hourly Data" button.
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to US Units w/ kts" button until the relevant table displays °F.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$168Data di fine
5 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 3, 2026, 3:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=kordRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent National Weather Service forecasts for Chicago on September 5, 2026, point to overnight lows in the upper 60s to low 70s, reflecting the primary driver behind clustered market-implied odds around 66–73°F. Lake Michigan’s moderating effect, combined with northeast winds shifting to 10–15 mph, limits radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies and elevated humidity near 70–80%. A recent warm spell with daytime highs in the 90s has maintained elevated surface temperatures, reducing the potential for sharper overnight drops. Model consensus shows limited divergence on these factors, though variable lake breeze timing or unexpected cloud cover could shift the minimum by a few degrees within the tightly bunched leading outcomes. Updated NWS briefings remain the key near-term data point.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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