Forecasts from multiple models point to a September 6 overnight low in Chengdu near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions following daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the recent warm spell and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities around the mid-20s reflects uncertainty in exact minimum temperatures driven by variables such as cloud cover, humidity levels near 50–60%, light winds, and the urban heat island effect that can retain warmth. The elevated weighting on 30°C or higher captures scenarios with stronger insulation from clouds or delayed cooling ahead of the expected shift to rain and lower temperatures later in the week. New model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities will refine the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 6 settembre?
La temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 6 settembre?
30°C o superiore 96%
21°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
40%
21°C
49%
22°C
26%
23°C
28%
24°C
34%
25°C
32%
26°C
28%
27°C
49%
28°C
49%
29°C
49%
30°C o superiore
96%
30°C o superiore 96%
21°C 49%
27°C 49%
28°C 49%
NUOVO
NUOVO
6 set 2026
20°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
40%
21°C
$0 Vol.
49%
22°C
$0 Vol.
26%
23°C
$0 Vol.
28%
24°C
$0 Vol.
34%
25°C
$0 Vol.
32%
26°C
$0 Vol.
28%
27°C
$0 Vol.
49%
28°C
$0 Vol.
49%
29°C
$0 Vol.
49%
30°C o superiore
$0 Vol.
96%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models point to a September 6 overnight low in Chengdu near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions following daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the recent warm spell and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities around the mid-20s reflects uncertainty in exact minimum temperatures driven by variables such as cloud cover, humidity levels near 50–60%, light winds, and the urban heat island effect that can retain warmth. The elevated weighting on 30°C or higher captures scenarios with stronger insulation from clouds or delayed cooling ahead of the expected shift to rain and lower temperatures later in the week. New model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities will refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecasts from multiple models point to a September 6 overnight low in Chengdu near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions following daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the recent warm spell and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities around the mid-20s reflects uncertainty in exact minimum temperatures driven by variables such as cloud cover, humidity levels near 50–60%, light winds, and the urban heat island effect that can retain warmth. The elevated weighting on 30°C or higher captures scenarios with stronger insulation from clouds or delayed cooling ahead of the expected shift to rain and lower temperatures later in the week. New model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities will refine the range before resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Chengdu Shuangliu International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 6 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$0Data di fine
6 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 4, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecasts from multiple models point to a September 6 overnight low in Chengdu near 24°C under partly cloudy conditions following daytime highs of 32–34°C, consistent with the recent warm spell and limited nocturnal radiative cooling. Trader consensus across closely matched probabilities around the mid-20s reflects uncertainty in exact minimum temperatures driven by variables such as cloud cover, humidity levels near 50–60%, light winds, and the urban heat island effect that can retain warmth. The elevated weighting on 30°C or higher captures scenarios with stronger insulation from clouds or delayed cooling ahead of the expected shift to rain and lower temperatures later in the week. New model runs and official updates from Chinese meteorological authorities will refine the range before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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