**Trader consensus heavily favors a 21°C low in Chengdu on September 5 due to the latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies showing stable high-pressure conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** Numerical weather prediction models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C under mostly clear skies, with humidity and light winds supporting a minimum of approximately 21–23°C, consistent with early September climatology for the Sichuan basin. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus rather than any single projection. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected localized cloud cover, precipitation, or measurement variations at the official station, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa a Chengdu il 5 settembre?
21°C 99.4%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C o inferiore
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
21°C 99.4%
18°C o inferiore <1%
19°C <1%
20°C <1%
18°C o inferiore
1%
19°C
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
99%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C o superiore
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 3, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuu
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zuuuRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...**Trader consensus heavily favors a 21°C low in Chengdu on September 5 due to the latest official forecasts from meteorological agencies showing stable high-pressure conditions with minimal overnight cooling.** Numerical weather prediction models indicate daytime highs near 32–34°C under mostly clear skies, with humidity and light winds supporting a minimum of approximately 21–23°C, consistent with early September climatology for the Sichuan basin. This positioning reflects aggregated trader assessment of real-time observational data and model consensus rather than any single projection. A realistic challenge could arise from unexpected localized cloud cover, precipitation, or measurement variations at the official station, though current conditions make significant deviation unlikely before resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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