Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle in the 23–26°C range, driven by residual summer warmth, moderate humidity near 60–80%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal drop compared to clearer nights, while light winds (under 10 km/h) and urban heat retention further support minima above the historical 20.7°C average. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–24°C because ensemble runs show minor divergences in cloud timing and precipitation onset that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C; stronger overnight clearing or drier air would favor the lower end, whereas persistent moisture pushes toward 25°C or above. Upcoming model updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Pechino il 24 agosto?
27°C 52%
23°C 34%
24°C 29%
22°C 28%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
29%
25°C
12%
26°C
28%
27°C
52%
28°C
4%
29°C o superiore
13%
27°C 52%
23°C 34%
24°C 29%
22°C 28%
19°C or below
<1%
20°C
4%
21°C
27%
22°C
28%
23°C
34%
24°C
29%
25°C
12%
26°C
28%
27°C
52%
28°C
4%
29°C o superiore
13%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:31 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the lowest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaa
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zbaaResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecast models from multiple sources indicate Beijing's overnight low on August 24 will likely settle in the 23–26°C range, driven by residual summer warmth, moderate humidity near 60–80%, and limited radiative cooling under partly cloudy skies with scattered showers. These conditions reduce the typical diurnal drop compared to clearer nights, while light winds (under 10 km/h) and urban heat retention further support minima above the historical 20.7°C average. Trader consensus clusters tightly around 22–24°C because ensemble runs show minor divergences in cloud timing and precipitation onset that could shift the exact low by 1–2°C; stronger overnight clearing or drier air would favor the lower end, whereas persistent moisture pushes toward 25°C or above. Upcoming model updates and local observations will refine resolution criteria.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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