Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Beijing on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus and recent observations show overnight lows holding in the 23–26°C range amid elevated dew points and light winds, consistent with above-normal August conditions. The market's strong 93% implied probability on 25°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering currents could allow greater cooling and push the minimum lower, though such changes remain low-probability given the current setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa di Pechino il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa di Pechino il 23 agosto?
25°C 99%
23°C 3%
22°C 1.8%
24°C 2%
$3,520 Vol.
$3,520 Vol.
23 ago 2026
19°C or below
1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
1%
22°C
2%
23°C
3%
24°C
2%
25°C
94%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C or higher
<1%
25°C 99%
23°C 3%
22°C 1.8%
24°C 2%
$3,520 Vol.
$3,520 Vol.
23 ago 2026
19°C or below
$184 Vol.
1%
20°C
$689 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$277 Vol.
1%
22°C
$327 Vol.
2%
23°C
$340 Vol.
3%
24°C
$264 Vol.
2%
25°C
$369 Vol.
94%
26°C
$222 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$401 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$301 Vol.
<1%
29°C or higher
$147 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Beijing on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus and recent observations show overnight lows holding in the 23–26°C range amid elevated dew points and light winds, consistent with above-normal August conditions. The market's strong 93% implied probability on 25°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering currents could allow greater cooling and push the minimum lower, though such changes remain low-probability given the current setup.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ET
Volume
$3,520Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Beijing on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus and recent observations show overnight lows holding in the 23–26°C range amid elevated dew points and light winds, consistent with above-normal August conditions. The market's strong 93% implied probability on 25°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering currents could allow greater cooling and push the minimum lower, though such changes remain low-probability given the current setup.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Beijing Capital International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Beijing Capital International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,520Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:30 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/beijing/ZBAAResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from multiple meteorological sources indicate a minimum temperature near 25°C for Beijing on August 23, 2026, driven by persistent warm, humid air masses, widespread cloud cover, and thunderstorm activity that limit overnight radiative cooling. Official model consensus and recent observations show overnight lows holding in the 23–26°C range amid elevated dew points and light winds, consistent with above-normal August conditions. The market's strong 93% implied probability on 25°C reflects trader assessment of these stable atmospheric patterns. A rapid clearing of skies or an unforecasted shift in steering currents could allow greater cooling and push the minimum lower, though such changes remain low-probability given the current setup.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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