Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 16 °C on 23 August. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18 °C under similar high-pressure conditions, aligning closely with the current model consensus and the market-implied probability exceeding 96 percent for exactly that threshold. Resolution depends on official 24-hour minimum observations at the central Ankara station. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift to stronger winds could limit cooling and push the recorded low above 17 °C, while any unforecasted cold-air advection might briefly dip readings to 15 °C or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 23 agosto?
La temperatura più bassa ad Ankara il 23 agosto?
16°C 96.5%
15°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,342 Vol.
$3,342 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
<1%
16°C
97%
17°C
<1%
18°C
<1%
19°C
<1%
20°C
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C o superiore
<1%
16°C 96.5%
15°C o inferiore <1%
17°C <1%
18°C <1%
$3,342 Vol.
$3,342 Vol.
23 ago 2026
15°C o inferiore
$187 Vol.
<1%
16°C
$258 Vol.
97%
17°C
$511 Vol.
<1%
18°C
$594 Vol.
<1%
19°C
$393 Vol.
<1%
20°C
$389 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$254 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$194 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$184 Vol.
<1%
25°C o superiore
$184 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 16 °C on 23 August. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18 °C under similar high-pressure conditions, aligning closely with the current model consensus and the market-implied probability exceeding 96 percent for exactly that threshold. Resolution depends on official 24-hour minimum observations at the central Ankara station. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift to stronger winds could limit cooling and push the recorded low above 17 °C, while any unforecasted cold-air advection might briefly dip readings to 15 °C or lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ET
Volume
$3,342Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 16 °C on 23 August. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18 °C under similar high-pressure conditions, aligning closely with the current model consensus and the market-implied probability exceeding 96 percent for exactly that threshold. Resolution depends on official 24-hour minimum observations at the central Ankara station. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift to stronger winds could limit cooling and push the recorded low above 17 °C, while any unforecasted cold-air advection might briefly dip readings to 15 °C or lower.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 23 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Esenboğa Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTAC.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,342Data di fine
23 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 21, 2026, 12:29 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tr/%C3%A7ubuk/LTACResolver
0x69c47De9D...Recent forecasts from the Turkish State Meteorological Service and international models such as ECMWF indicate clear skies and light northerly winds over Ankara, promoting efficient nocturnal radiative cooling that supports a minimum near 16 °C on 23 August. Historical August climatology for the region shows typical overnight lows of 15–18 °C under similar high-pressure conditions, aligning closely with the current model consensus and the market-implied probability exceeding 96 percent for exactly that threshold. Resolution depends on official 24-hour minimum observations at the central Ankara station. A sudden increase in cloud cover or a shift to stronger winds could limit cooling and push the recorded low above 17 °C, while any unforecasted cold-air advection might briefly dip readings to 15 °C or lower.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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