NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoQuanti uragani si formeranno durante la stagione degli uragani atlantici nel 2026?
Quanti uragani si formeranno durante la stagione degli uragani atlantici nel 2026?
1-3 48%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
0
7%
1-3
48%
4-6
37%
7+
32%
1-3 48%
4-6 37%
7+ 32%
0 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
31 dic 2026
0
$58 Vol.
7%
1-3
$0 Vol.
48%
4-6
$0 Vol.
37%
7+
$0 Vol.
32%
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Mercato aperto: Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ET
Volume
$58Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
This market will resolve according to the number of storms categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic between market creation and November 30, 2026 11:59 PM ET.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
If there is no storm categorized as a hurricane in the Atlantic during the specified timeframe this market will resolve to "0".
A hurricane is a tropical cyclone with maximum sustained winds of 74 mph or greater (Category 1 or higher on the Saffir-Simpson Hurricane Wind Scale), as described at https://www.nhc.noaa.gov/aboutsshws.php.
This market may resolve based on the initial NHC advisory reporting a qualifying hurricane regardless of any later advisory, retraction, best-track revision, or reanalysis that revises that storm's intensity downward. The official count will be determined by the NHC (nhc.noaa.gov) advisories.
Volume
$58Data di fine
31 dic 2026Mercato aperto
Jul 28, 2026, 4:49 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...NOAA and Colorado State University forecasts for the 2026 Atlantic hurricane season project below-normal activity, with 3-6 hurricanes expected amid a strengthening El Niño that increases wind shear and suppresses tropical cyclogenesis. As of early August, only two named storms—Arthur and Bertha—have formed, with zero hurricanes recorded so far against an average of seven. This early inactivity and model consensus favoring reduced formation through November support trader emphasis on the 1-3 or 4-6 ranges, though peak-season conditions and potential forecast revisions from the National Hurricane Center could still shift outcomes.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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