Forecast models for Tel Aviv on September 1 project a daily maximum near 31–33 °C under persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and clear to mostly sunny skies, with the Mediterranean sea breeze moderating peak values. Multiple sources, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, cluster around 32 °C, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point forecasts, and exact wind timing produce a narrow spread that places 32 °C and 33 °C in near parity. Late-August observations show no anomalous heat wave or blocking pattern, keeping probabilities anchored to climatological late-summer norms rather than outlier warmth. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the 32–33 °C contest that currently dominates trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Tel Aviv il 1° settembre?
32°C 53%
33°C 45%
31°C 2%
34°C 2%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
53%
33°C
45%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
32°C 53%
33°C 45%
31°C 2%
34°C 2%
30°C or below
<1%
31°C
2%
32°C
53%
33°C
45%
34°C
2%
35°C
<1%
36°C
<1%
37°C
<1%
38°C
<1%
39°C
<1%
40°C or higher
<1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 30, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Risolutore
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models for Tel Aviv on September 1 project a daily maximum near 31–33 °C under persistent high pressure, light northwesterly winds, and clear to mostly sunny skies, with the Mediterranean sea breeze moderating peak values. Multiple sources, including GFS and ECMWF guidance, cluster around 32 °C, though small differences in boundary-layer mixing, dew-point forecasts, and exact wind timing produce a narrow spread that places 32 °C and 33 °C in near parity. Late-August observations show no anomalous heat wave or blocking pattern, keeping probabilities anchored to climatological late-summer norms rather than outlier warmth. Updated model runs expected within the next 24 hours will likely narrow the 32–33 °C contest that currently dominates trader positioning.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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