Forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 4, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest solar heating amid typical dry-season conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the August climatological average high of 23–25°C. Close market probabilities between 26°C and 27°C reflect remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. No major cold front or significant cloud cover is expected to suppress temperatures further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a San Paolo il 4 agosto?
26°C 41%
27°C 34%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
$10,946 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,946 Vol.
4 ago 2026
22°C or below
<1%
23°C
1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
19%
26°C
41%
27°C
34%
28°C
9%
29°C
1%
30°C
<1%
31°C
<1%
32°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 41%
27°C 34%
25°C 19%
28°C 9%
NUOVO
$10,946 Vol.
NUOVO
$10,946 Vol.
4 ago 2026
22°C or below
$864 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$567 Vol.
1%
24°C
$816 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$1,306 Vol.
19%
26°C
$3,582 Vol.
41%
27°C
$1,338 Vol.
34%
28°C
$988 Vol.
9%
29°C
$496 Vol.
1%
30°C
$300 Vol.
<1%
31°C
$322 Vol.
<1%
32°C o superiore
$367 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 4, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest solar heating amid typical dry-season conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the August climatological average high of 23–25°C. Close market probabilities between 26°C and 27°C reflect remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. No major cold front or significant cloud cover is expected to suppress temperatures further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$10,946Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 4, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest solar heating amid typical dry-season conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the August climatological average high of 23–25°C. Close market probabilities between 26°C and 27°C reflect remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. No major cold front or significant cloud cover is expected to suppress temperatures further.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Sao Paulo-Guarulhos International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGR.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$10,946Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/br/guarulhos/SBGRResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from agencies including INMET and international ensembles indicate a daytime maximum near 26–27°C for São Paulo on August 4, driven by a subtropical high-pressure ridge promoting mostly clear skies, light northeasterly winds, and modest solar heating amid typical dry-season conditions. This places the outcome slightly above the August climatological average high of 23–25°C. Close market probabilities between 26°C and 27°C reflect remaining uncertainty in exact peak timing, urban heat-island effects at official stations, and minor model spread in boundary-layer moisture. No major cold front or significant cloud cover is expected to suppress temperatures further.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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