Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a daytime high near 28–30 °C in Qingdao on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow at 3–4 Beaufort, and a modest chance of showers that could limit insolation. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from recent frontal activity on the 22nd–23rd support this range, consistent with late-summer climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C likely reflect trader assessment of model spread—particularly the potential for reduced cloud cover or stronger subsidence allowing temperatures to edge above guidance—while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current steering pattern and limited diurnal heating expected under the modest pressure gradient. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs due overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 24 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Qingdao il 24 agosto?
32°C 48%
33°C 27%
31°C 18%
34°C o superiore 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
<1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
1%
29°C
3%
30°C
4%
31°C
18%
32°C
48%
33°C
27%
34°C o superiore
5%
32°C 48%
33°C 27%
31°C 18%
34°C o superiore 5%
NUOVO
NUOVO
24 ago 2026
24°C o inferiore
$72 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$72 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$70 Vol.
<1%
27°C
$537 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$492 Vol.
1%
29°C
$385 Vol.
3%
30°C
$516 Vol.
4%
31°C
$1,173 Vol.
18%
32°C
$2,123 Vol.
48%
33°C
$1,343 Vol.
27%
34°C o superiore
$431 Vol.
5%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a daytime high near 28–30 °C in Qingdao on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow at 3–4 Beaufort, and a modest chance of showers that could limit insolation. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from recent frontal activity on the 22nd–23rd support this range, consistent with late-summer climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C likely reflect trader assessment of model spread—particularly the potential for reduced cloud cover or stronger subsidence allowing temperatures to edge above guidance—while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current steering pattern and limited diurnal heating expected under the modest pressure gradient. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs due overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ET
Volume
$7,214Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a daytime high near 28–30 °C in Qingdao on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow at 3–4 Beaufort, and a modest chance of showers that could limit insolation. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from recent frontal activity on the 22nd–23rd support this range, consistent with late-summer climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C likely reflect trader assessment of model spread—particularly the potential for reduced cloud cover or stronger subsidence allowing temperatures to edge above guidance—while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current steering pattern and limited diurnal heating expected under the modest pressure gradient. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs due overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Qingdao Jiaodong International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 24 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqd
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$7,214Data di fine
24 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 22, 2026, 12:58 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=zsqdResolver
0x69c47De9D...Forecast models from sources including the China Meteorological Administration and international services project a daytime high near 28–30 °C in Qingdao on August 24 under partly cloudy skies, southerly flow at 3–4 Beaufort, and a modest chance of showers that could limit insolation. Persistent marine influence from the Yellow Sea and residual moisture from recent frontal activity on the 22nd–23rd support this range, consistent with late-summer climatology. Market-implied odds favoring 31–33 °C likely reflect trader assessment of model spread—particularly the potential for reduced cloud cover or stronger subsidence allowing temperatures to edge above guidance—while lower outcomes remain discounted given the current steering pattern and limited diurnal heating expected under the modest pressure gradient. Updated CMA and ECMWF runs due overnight will provide the next key data point ahead of resolution.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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