Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Monaco il 19 settembre?
La temperatura più alta di Monaco il 19 settembre?
23°C 64%
22°C 25%
24°C 10%
21°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
2%
20°C
2%
21°C
3%
22°C
25%
23°C
64%
24°C
10%
25°C
2%
26°C
1%
27°C
<1%
28°C
<1%
29°C o superiore
<1%
23°C 64%
22°C 25%
24°C 10%
21°C 3%
NUOVO
NUOVO
19 set 2026
19°C o inferiore
$0 Vol.
2%
20°C
$95 Vol.
2%
21°C
$303 Vol.
3%
22°C
$827 Vol.
25%
23°C
$973 Vol.
64%
24°C
$407 Vol.
10%
25°C
$210 Vol.
2%
26°C
$36 Vol.
1%
27°C
$267 Vol.
<1%
28°C
$169 Vol.
<1%
29°C o superiore
$169 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Volume
$3,455Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded by NOAA at the Munich Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 19 Sep '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddm
If NOAA data for the observation date is unavailable by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, the Weather Underground Daily Observations table will be used as the resolution source.
In the event that there is no data for the observation date by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market will resolve once the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source, or by 11:59 PM ET on the day following the observation date, whichever comes first.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,455Data di fine
19 set 2026Mercato aperto
Sep 17, 2026, 12:56 AM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=eddmRisolutore
0x69c47De9D...Recent official forecasts from the German Weather Service (DWD) and major models including GFS and ECMWF indicate a stable high-pressure regime over southern Bavaria on September 19, supporting mostly clear to partly cloudy skies, light westerly winds, and daytime highs of 22–23°C in Munich. This consensus aligns with the market’s strongest implied probabilities for 23°C (63.5%) and 22°C (24.5%), reflecting modest warming above the 1991–2020 average high of 19.2°C without reaching the 24–25°C thresholds that would require stronger subsidence or a warmer air mass. Updated model runs show minimal spread, with precipitation risk near zero and no significant steering changes expected before the daily maximum is recorded.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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