Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 18 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 18 agosto?
26°C 41%
25°C 30%
27°C 13%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
<1%
21°C
<1%
22°C
1%
23°C
3%
24°C
7%
25°C
30%
26°C
41%
27°C
13%
28°C
3%
29°C
1%
30°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 41%
25°C 30%
27°C 13%
24°C 7%
NUOVO
NUOVO
18 ago 2026
20°C o inferiore
$35 Vol.
<1%
21°C
$71 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$278 Vol.
1%
23°C
$394 Vol.
3%
24°C
$570 Vol.
7%
25°C
$551 Vol.
30%
26°C
$1,191 Vol.
41%
27°C
$333 Vol.
13%
28°C
$69 Vol.
3%
29°C
$167 Vol.
1%
30°C o superiore
$252 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$3,882Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$3,882Data di fine
18 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 16, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Current forecasts from meteorological services indicate a daily maximum near 25–26°C in Mexico City on August 18, driven by typical mid-August subtropical highland conditions featuring afternoon cloud cover, convective showers, and limited solar heating. Recent observations, including a 27°C high on August 16, show modest warming during clearer intervals, yet climatological averages of 24–25°C and ongoing moisture from the monsoon pattern constrain further increases. Model consensus emphasizes these factors over extreme outliers, with traders assigning the highest implied probabilities to 25–26°C outcomes based on the balance of observational data and short-term guidance. Updated forecasts closer to resolution could refine these probabilities if steering patterns or rainfall timing shift.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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