Mexico City's high-altitude location and ongoing rainy season drive the strong market consensus around a 26°C maximum on August 17. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project daily highs of 25–26°C (77–79°F), consistent with August climatology where cloud cover, afternoon showers, and the city's 2,240-meter elevation typically limit peaks to the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show no significant warming signals, with moisture from tropical waves maintaining stable conditions. A realistic shift toward 27°C or higher would require an unusual break in cloud cover or stronger subsidence, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Città del Messico il 17 agosto?
26°C 99.5%
27°C 1.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,135 Vol.
$17,135 Vol.
17 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
<1%
22°C
<1%
23°C
<1%
24°C
<1%
25°C
<1%
26°C
100%
27°C
1%
28°C
<1%
29°C
<1%
30°C
<1%
31°C o superiore
<1%
26°C 99.5%
27°C 1.0%
28°C <1%
29°C <1%
$17,135 Vol.
$17,135 Vol.
17 ago 2026
21°C o inferiore
$479 Vol.
<1%
22°C
$748 Vol.
<1%
23°C
$774 Vol.
<1%
24°C
$1,381 Vol.
<1%
25°C
$2,642 Vol.
<1%
26°C
$5,994 Vol.
100%
27°C
$1,442 Vol.
1%
28°C
$1,908 Vol.
<1%
29°C
$891 Vol.
<1%
30°C
$415 Vol.
<1%
31°C o superiore
$461 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude location and ongoing rainy season drive the strong market consensus around a 26°C maximum on August 17. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project daily highs of 25–26°C (77–79°F), consistent with August climatology where cloud cover, afternoon showers, and the city's 2,240-meter elevation typically limit peaks to the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show no significant warming signals, with moisture from tropical waves maintaining stable conditions. A realistic shift toward 27°C or higher would require an unusual break in cloud cover or stronger subsidence, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ET
Volume
$17,135Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Mexico City's high-altitude location and ongoing rainy season drive the strong market consensus around a 26°C maximum on August 17. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project daily highs of 25–26°C (77–79°F), consistent with August climatology where cloud cover, afternoon showers, and the city's 2,240-meter elevation typically limit peaks to the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show no significant warming signals, with moisture from tropical waves maintaining stable conditions. A realistic shift toward 27°C or higher would require an unusual break in cloud cover or stronger subsidence, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before the market resolves.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Benito Juárez International Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Benito Juárez International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMX.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$17,135Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:57 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/mx/mexico-city/MMMXResolver
0x69c47De9D...Mexico City's high-altitude location and ongoing rainy season drive the strong market consensus around a 26°C maximum on August 17. Official forecasts from sources such as AccuWeather and timeanddate project daily highs of 25–26°C (77–79°F), consistent with August climatology where cloud cover, afternoon showers, and the city's 2,240-meter elevation typically limit peaks to the mid-20s Celsius. Recent model runs show no significant warming signals, with moisture from tropical waves maintaining stable conditions. A realistic shift toward 27°C or higher would require an unusual break in cloud cover or stronger subsidence, though current guidance assigns low probability to such deviations before the market resolves.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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