Monsoon patterns over northern India currently drive the distributed trader sentiment around Lucknow's peak temperature on August 25, with the market implying 31–33°C as the most likely range amid variable rainfall. Official India Meteorological Department guidance highlights scattered showers and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating while high humidity limits nocturnal cooling, keeping maxima near seasonal norms of 30–34°C. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Bay of Bengal low-pressure systems, which could boost precipitation and cap readings at 30–31°C, versus clearer breaks that allow stronger insolation and push values to 34–35°C or higher. Model spread in short-range forecasts adds uncertainty, with resolution hinging on exact 24-hour rainfall totals and wind shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Lucknow il 25 agosto?
32°C 33%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
33%
33°C
23%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
32°C 33%
31°C 23%
33°C 23%
34°C 11%
27°C or below
1%
28°C
2%
29°C
6%
30°C
7%
31°C
23%
32°C
33%
33°C
23%
34°C
11%
35°C
3%
36°C
2%
37°C or higher
1%
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 23, 2026, 12:56 AM ET
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilk
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Fonte di risoluzione
https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=vilkResolver
0x69c47De9D...Monsoon patterns over northern India currently drive the distributed trader sentiment around Lucknow's peak temperature on August 25, with the market implying 31–33°C as the most likely range amid variable rainfall. Official India Meteorological Department guidance highlights scattered showers and cloud cover that suppress daytime heating while high humidity limits nocturnal cooling, keeping maxima near seasonal norms of 30–34°C. Key variables include the strength and timing of any Bay of Bengal low-pressure systems, which could boost precipitation and cap readings at 30–31°C, versus clearer breaks that allow stronger insolation and push values to 34–35°C or higher. Model spread in short-range forecasts adds uncertainty, with resolution hinging on exact 24-hour rainfall totals and wind shifts.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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