**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport on August 4, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under sunny and hot conditions, aligning closely with the market’s leading 100-101°F bin at 60.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the consensus from the latest NWS model runs and surface observations, which show typical early-August subtropical high pressure dominating North Texas with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon mixing. Recent days have featured highs of 98–102°F amid a broader heat pattern, but no significant cold front or moisture surge has altered the steering flow or introduced cooling. Private forecasts vary slightly (AccuWeather around 103°F), yet traders appear anchored to the authoritative NWS guidance and historical verification at the official DFW station, where 101°F sits comfortably within the most likely verification range. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before peak heating, the narrow 100-101°F outcome remains the clearest expression of current atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta a Dallas il 4 agosto?
La temperatura più alta a Dallas il 4 agosto?
100-101°F 63%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 14%
97°F o inferiore 2.7%
NUOVO
$15,759 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,759 Vol.
4 ago 2026
97°F o inferiore
3%
98-99°F
14%
100-101°F
63%
102-103°F
19%
104-105°F
2%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112-113°F
<1%
114-115°F
<1%
116°F o superiore
<1%
100-101°F 63%
102-103°F 19%
98-99°F 14%
97°F o inferiore 2.7%
NUOVO
$15,759 Vol.
NUOVO
$15,759 Vol.
4 ago 2026
97°F o inferiore
$2,143 Vol.
3%
98-99°F
$1,829 Vol.
14%
100-101°F
$5,297 Vol.
63%
102-103°F
$1,756 Vol.
19%
104-105°F
$1,670 Vol.
2%
106-107°F
$994 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$405 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$389 Vol.
<1%
112-113°F
$519 Vol.
<1%
114-115°F
$367 Vol.
<1%
116°F o superiore
$389 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport on August 4, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under sunny and hot conditions, aligning closely with the market’s leading 100-101°F bin at 60.5% implied probability.**
This positioning reflects the consensus from the latest NWS model runs and surface observations, which show typical early-August subtropical high pressure dominating North Texas with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon mixing. Recent days have featured highs of 98–102°F amid a broader heat pattern, but no significant cold front or moisture surge has altered the steering flow or introduced cooling.
Private forecasts vary slightly (AccuWeather around 103°F), yet traders appear anchored to the authoritative NWS guidance and historical verification at the official DFW station, where 101°F sits comfortably within the most likely verification range. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before peak heating, the narrow 100-101°F outcome remains the clearest expression of current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ET
Volume
$15,759Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport on August 4, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under sunny and hot conditions, aligning closely with the market’s leading 100-101°F bin at 60.5% implied probability.**
This positioning reflects the consensus from the latest NWS model runs and surface observations, which show typical early-August subtropical high pressure dominating North Texas with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon mixing. Recent days have featured highs of 98–102°F amid a broader heat pattern, but no significant cold front or moisture surge has altered the steering flow or introduced cooling.
Private forecasts vary slightly (AccuWeather around 103°F), yet traders appear anchored to the authoritative NWS guidance and historical verification at the official DFW station, where 101°F sits comfortably within the most likely verification range. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before peak heating, the narrow 100-101°F outcome remains the clearest expression of current atmospheric conditions.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Dallas Love Field Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 4 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Dallas Love Field Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDAL.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$15,759Data di fine
4 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 2, 2026, 9:03 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/dallas/KDALResolver
0x69c47De9D...**Official National Weather Service forecasts for Dallas-Fort Worth International Airport on August 4, 2026, call for a high near 101°F under sunny and hot conditions, aligning closely with the market’s leading 100-101°F bin at 60.5% implied probability.** This positioning reflects the consensus from the latest NWS model runs and surface observations, which show typical early-August subtropical high pressure dominating North Texas with light winds and minimal cloud cover limiting afternoon mixing. Recent days have featured highs of 98–102°F amid a broader heat pattern, but no significant cold front or moisture surge has altered the steering flow or introduced cooling. Private forecasts vary slightly (AccuWeather around 103°F), yet traders appear anchored to the authoritative NWS guidance and historical verification at the official DFW station, where 101°F sits comfortably within the most likely verification range. With resolution imminent and no major model shifts expected before peak heating, the narrow 100-101°F outcome remains the clearest expression of current atmospheric conditions.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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