National Weather Service forecasts and numerical model consensus project a daily maximum near 103°F for Austin on August 17, 2026, under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with ongoing Central Texas heat, where recent highs have reached 100–104°F amid southerly flow and low humidity supporting efficient warming. The market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on 102–103°F reflects strong scientific agreement across official guidance, though minor deviations remain possible if unanticipated cloud development or boundary-layer moisture increases reduce peak insolation. Resolution will hinge on the official observation at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · AggiornatoLa temperatura più alta di Austin il 17 agosto?
La temperatura più alta di Austin il 17 agosto?
102-103°F 99.5%
104-105°F <1%
106-107°F <1%
93°F o meno <1%
$29,661 Vol.
$29,661 Vol.
17 ago 2026
93°F o meno
<1%
94-95°F
<1%
96-97°F
<1%
98-99°F
<1%
100-101°F
<1%
102-103°F
100%
104-105°F
1%
106-107°F
<1%
108-109°F
<1%
110-111°F
<1%
112°F o superiore
<1%
102-103°F 99.5%
104-105°F <1%
106-107°F <1%
93°F o meno <1%
$29,661 Vol.
$29,661 Vol.
17 ago 2026
93°F o meno
$191 Vol.
<1%
94-95°F
$443 Vol.
<1%
96-97°F
$1,430 Vol.
<1%
98-99°F
$1,879 Vol.
<1%
100-101°F
$11,692 Vol.
<1%
102-103°F
$5,142 Vol.
100%
104-105°F
$3,461 Vol.
1%
106-107°F
$2,922 Vol.
<1%
108-109°F
$2,032 Vol.
<1%
110-111°F
$370 Vol.
<1%
112°F o superiore
$646 Vol.
<1%
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and numerical model consensus project a daily maximum near 103°F for Austin on August 17, 2026, under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with ongoing Central Texas heat, where recent highs have reached 100–104°F amid southerly flow and low humidity supporting efficient warming. The market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on 102–103°F reflects strong scientific agreement across official guidance, though minor deviations remain possible if unanticipated cloud development or boundary-layer moisture increases reduce peak insolation. Resolution will hinge on the official observation at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Mercato aperto: Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ET
Volume
$29,661Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.National Weather Service forecasts and numerical model consensus project a daily maximum near 103°F for Austin on August 17, 2026, under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with ongoing Central Texas heat, where recent highs have reached 100–104°F amid southerly flow and low humidity supporting efficient warming. The market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on 102–103°F reflects strong scientific agreement across official guidance, though minor deviations remain possible if unanticipated cloud development or boundary-layer moisture increases reduce peak insolation. Resolution will hinge on the official observation at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station in degrees Fahrenheit on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Austin-Bergstrom International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Fahrenheit (eg, 21°F). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Volume
$29,661Data di fine
17 ago 2026Mercato aperto
Aug 15, 2026, 9:56 PM ETFonte di risoluzione
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/us/tx/austin/KAUSResolver
0x69c47De9D...National Weather Service forecasts and numerical model consensus project a daily maximum near 103°F for Austin on August 17, 2026, under a persistent upper-level ridge promoting subsidence, clear skies, and intense daytime solar heating. This setup aligns with ongoing Central Texas heat, where recent highs have reached 100–104°F amid southerly flow and low humidity supporting efficient warming. The market's overwhelming 99.5% implied probability on 102–103°F reflects strong scientific agreement across official guidance, though minor deviations remain possible if unanticipated cloud development or boundary-layer moisture increases reduce peak insolation. Resolution will hinge on the official observation at Austin-Bergstrom International Airport.
Riepilogo sperimentale generato dall'AI con riferimento ai dati di Polymarket. Questo non è un consiglio di trading e non ha alcun ruolo nella risoluzione di questo mercato. · Aggiornato
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